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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Lens vs Nantes

Lens vs Nantes

Result • Ligue 1·Lens·Nantes

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
May 8, 2026
18:45
high Confidence
WINNER
Lens

Lens

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.44
X4.75
26.50
Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
high Confidence
Nantes

Nantes

Away
Odds
11.44
X4.75
26.50
Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Win Probabilities
61%
Lens
26%
Draw
13%
Nantes
Home1.4461%
Draw4.7526%
Away6.5013%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Lens's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Nantes, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Lens and Nantes using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lens a 61% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Nantes a 13% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: A. Sima
    15'
    Yellow Card: A. SimaLens
  2. Yellow Card: A. Bulatovic
    36'
    Yellow Card: A. BulatovicLens
  3. Substitution: F. SotocaOut: R. Fofana
    46'
    Substitution: F. SotocaLens · Out: R. Fofana
  4. Substitution: R. AguilarOut: O. Edouard
    59'
    Substitution: R. AguilarLens · Out: O. Edouard
  5. Substitution: F. SyllaOut: A. Haidara
    65'
    Substitution: F. SyllaLens · Out: A. Haidara
  6. 66'
    Substitution: Ali YoussefNantes · Out: U. Radakovic
    Substitution: Ali YoussefOut: U. Radakovic
  7. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - handballA. Sima
    71'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - handballLens · A. Sima
  8. 75'
    Yellow Card: Ali YoussefNantes
    Yellow Card: Ali Youssef
  9. Substitution: A. BermontOut: W. Said
    79'
    Substitution: A. BermontLens · Out: W. Said
  10. Substitution: M. SoaresOut: A. Sima
    79'
    Substitution: M. SoaresLens · Out: A. Sima
  11. Goal: M. SoaresAssist: A. Bulatovic
    79'
    Goal: M. SoaresLens · Assist: A. Bulatovic
  12. 82'
    Substitution: Mostafa MohamedNantes · Out: I. Ganago
    Substitution: Mostafa MohamedOut: I. Ganago
  13. 82'
    Substitution: L. LerouxNantes · Out: M. Kaba
    Substitution: L. LerouxOut: M. Kaba
  14. 82'
    Substitution: Y. El ArabiNantes · Out: M. Abline
    Substitution: Y. El ArabiOut: M. Abline
  15. 87'
    Substitution: D. TabibouNantes · Out: F. Guilbert
    Substitution: D. TabibouOut: F. Guilbert
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1O. Édouard vs Nantes defense: Lens' top scorer will test a defense that has conceded 51 goals this season.
2F. Thauvin vs Nantes midfield: Thauvin's creativity and dribbling could unlock the away side's low block.
3M. Abline vs Lens backline: Nantes' main attacking threat must overcome a defense missing Machado.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lens

  • Strong attack averaging 2.4 goals per game
  • Excellent home record
  • Defensive lapses at times (1.4 goals conceded per game)
  • Injury to key defender Machado

Nantes

  • Defensive organization (63% defense rating)
  • Set-piece threat
  • Poor attacking output (1.0 goals per game)
  • Relegation-threatened mentality

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
61%
API-Football
45%
53%
Lens523612

Moderate agreement on home win (53%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Lens are strong favorites to beat Nantes at home, given their dominant league position and superior form.

Form Analysis: Lens are unbeaten in five matches (DDWLW) and average 2.4 goals per game, while Nantes have lost four of their last five (WLLDD) and struggle to score, with only 1.0 goals per game.

Key Factors: Lens sit 2nd with 64 points, 41 points ahead of 17th-placed Nantes. Head-to-head history favors Lens (5 wins in last 10 meetings). Nantes have key doubts (A. Lopes) and poor away form.

Conclusion: Lens should control the game and secure a comfortable victory, likely with multiple goals.

Statistical ContextLens

Winner : Lens

Team Comparison

AI Powered
LensNantes
66%Strength33%
71%Attacking Potential29%
38%Defensive Potential63%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
65%Goals H2H35%
66%Wins the Game33%
Head-to-head →Injuries · LensInjuries · Nantes

Statistical Context

Lens

DWLLW
  • DSep 13, 26A · Le Mans2-2
  • WSep 10, 26A · Slavia Praha2-3
  • LSep 5, 26H · Lorient0-1
  • LAug 29, 26A · Strasbourg2-1
  • WAug 22, 26H · Auxerre5-2

Nantes

LWDLL
  • LSep 12, 26A · Sochaux1-0
  • WSep 7, 26H · Nancy1-0
  • DAug 29, 26A · Guingamp3-3
  • LAug 22, 26H · Rodez2-5
  • LAug 14, 26A · Laval2-1

Head to Head

5
Lens
2
Draws
3
Nantes
  • Dec 6, 25Nantes – Lens1-2
  • Feb 23, 25Nantes – Lens3-1
  • Nov 9, 24Lens – Nantes3-2
  • Feb 3, 24Nantes – Lens0-1
  • Oct 28, 23Lens – Nantes4-0

Season Statistics — 2026

LensNantes
Played35
Goals Scored67
Goals Conceded511
Avg Scored2.01.4
Avg Conceded1.72.2
Clean Sheets01

Lens vs Nantes — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Lens's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Nantes, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Lens are strong favorites to beat Nantes at home, given their dominant league position and superior form.

Form Analysis: Lens are unbeaten in five matches (DDWLW) and average 2.4 goals per game, while Nantes have lost four of their last five (WLLDD) and struggle to score, with only 1.0 goals per game.

Key Factors: Lens sit 2nd with 64 points, 41 points ahead of 17th-placed Nantes. Head-to-head history favors Lens (5 wins in last 10 meetings). Nantes have key doubts (A. Lopes) and poor away form.

Conclusion: Lens should control the game and secure a comfortable victory, likely with multiple goals.

Win Probabilities: Lens: 61% · Draw: 26% · Nantes: 13%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: Lens wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Nantes wins: 3

Form (latest first): Lens: DWLLW · Nantes: LWDLL

  • O. Édouard vs Nantes defense: Lens' top scorer will test a defense that has conceded 51 goals this season.
  • F. Thauvin vs Nantes midfield: Thauvin's creativity and dribbling could unlock the away side's low block.
  • M. Abline vs Lens backline: Nantes' main attacking threat must overcome a defense missing Machado.

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Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Sep 1818:45
Lens
12.3343%
X3.2331%
23.8526%
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Sep 1915:15
Strasbourg
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Sep 1918:45
Estac Troyes
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Sep 1918:45
Rennes
12.1347%
X3.4529%
24.1724%
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Sep 1918:45
Le Havre
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Sep 1918:45
Lorient
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Sep 2013:00
Stade Brestois 29
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Sep 2015:15
Lille
14.7621%
X3.3330%
22.0449%
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Sep 2018:45
Paris Saint Germain
13.4529%
X3.5728%
22.3343%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Oct 918:45
Lyon
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1015:15
Le Havre
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Oct 1018:45
Le Mans
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Oct 1018:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1018:45
Paris FC
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Oct 1018:45
Angers
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%

Betting Tips

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