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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart

Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart

Result • Bundesliga·Bayern München·VfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Aug 28, 2026
18:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Bayern München

Bayern München

Home
Final Score
5-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
5-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.23
X6.60
29.40
Stadium
Allianz Arena
high Confidence
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Away
Odds
11.23
X6.60
29.40
Stadium
Allianz Arena
Win Probabilities
77%
Bayern München
15%
Draw
8%
VfB Stuttgart
Home1.2377%
Draw6.6015%
Away9.408%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Bayern München are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record over Stuttgart. The main risk is their injury list, which could disrupt their usual fluidity, but Stuttgart's own absences and poor away form make an upset unlikely.

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bayern München a 77% win probability, a 15% chance of a draw, and VfB Stuttgart a 8% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 70%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 70%

Match Events

  1. Goal: D. UpamecanoAssist: J. Kimmich
    21'
    Goal: D. UpamecanoBayern München · Assist: J. Kimmich
  2. 52'
    Goal: J. VagnomanVfB Stuttgart
    Goal: J. Vagnoman
  3. Goal: M. OliseAssist: J. Kimmich
    55'
    Goal: M. OliseBayern München · Assist: J. Kimmich
  4. Own goal: J. Vagnoman (Own goal)
    57'
    Own goal: J. Vagnoman (Own goal)Bayern München
  5. Substitution: I. SaibariOut: N. Brown
    61'
    Substitution: I. SaibariBayern München · Out: N. Brown
  6. 62'
    Yellow Card: J. ChabotVfB Stuttgart
    Yellow Card: J. Chabot
  7. 62'
    Substitution: J. LewelingVfB Stuttgart · Out: T. Tomas
    Substitution: J. LewelingOut: T. Tomas
  8. 63'
    Substitution: E. DemirovicVfB Stuttgart · Out: D. Pejcinovic
    Substitution: E. DemirovicOut: D. Pejcinovic
  9. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideM. Olise
    63'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideBayern München · M. Olise
  10. 68'
    Yellow Card: F. JeltschVfB Stuttgart
    Yellow Card: F. Jeltsch
  11. Substitution: J. StanisicOut: A. Davies
    74'
    Substitution: J. StanisicBayern München · Out: A. Davies
  12. 74'
    Substitution: L. StergiouVfB Stuttgart · Out: D. Undav
    Substitution: L. StergiouOut: D. Undav
  13. 74'
    Substitution: B. El KhannoussVfB Stuttgart · Out: J. Chabot
    Substitution: B. El KhannoussOut: J. Chabot
  14. Yellow Card: Kim Min-Jae
    81'
    Yellow Card: Kim Min-JaeBayern München
  15. Goal: A. PavlovicAssist: I. Saibari
    82'
    Goal: A. PavlovicBayern München · Assist: I. Saibari
  16. Substitution: L. KarlOut: H. Kane
    84'
    Substitution: L. KarlBayern München · Out: H. Kane
  17. Substitution: J. TahOut: Kim Min-Jae
    84'
    Substitution: J. TahBayern München · Out: Kim Min-Jae
  18. Substitution: T. BischofOut: A. Pavlovic
    84'
    Substitution: T. BischofBayern München · Out: A. Pavlovic
  19. 88'
    Substitution: C. AndresVfB Stuttgart · Out: A. Stiller
    Substitution: C. AndresOut: A. Stiller
  20. Goal: L. DiazAssist: I. Saibari
    90+2'
    Goal: L. DiazBayern München · Assist: I. Saibari
  21. 90+3'
    Yellow Card: G. PromelVfB Stuttgart
    Yellow Card: G. Promel
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Harry Kane vs Jeff Chabot: Kane's movement and finishing will test Chabot's defensive positioning and aerial ability.
2Joshua Kimmich vs Angelo Stiller: The midfield duel will be crucial, with Kimmich's passing range against Stiller's energy and pressing.
3Dayot Upamecano vs Deniz Undav: Upamecano's pace and strength will be key in containing Undav's runs in behind.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Bayern München

  • Excellent recent form with five consecutive wins
  • Strong home advantage at the Allianz Arena
  • Several key players missing due to injury
  • No clean sheets in the last five matches

VfB Stuttgart

  • High scoring average of 3.4 goals per game in recent matches
  • Decent defensive record with an average of 1.0 goals conceded
  • Inconsistent form with only two wins in the last five
  • Nine players out due to injury, weakening squad depth

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
77%
API-Football
50%
64%
Bayern München63334

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (64%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Bayern München are clear favourites to win this Bundesliga clash at the Allianz Arena, with the market and the statistical model both pointing strongly in their direction. The home side's recent form is exceptional, having won their last five matches, and they hold a dominant head-to-head record over VfB Stuttgart, winning eight of the last nine meetings.

Form Analysis: Bayern München arrive on the back of a five-game winning streak, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2. VfB Stuttgart, meanwhile, have been inconsistent, with a record of two wins, two draws and a loss in their last five, though they have scored at a higher average of 3.4 goals per game. However, Bayern's momentum and home advantage give them a decisive edge.

Key Factors: The most significant factor is Bayern's overwhelming head-to-head dominance, having won eight of the last nine encounters. Additionally, Bayern's home form is formidable, and despite missing several key players, their squad depth remains superior. Stuttgart also have injury concerns, with nine players out, which weakens their defensive options.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Bayern München victory. The market implies a high probability of a home win, and the statistical model agrees. While Stuttgart are capable of scoring, Bayern's overall quality and home advantage should prove decisive.

Statistical ContextBayern München

Double chance : Bayern München or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
81%Strength19%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
81%Goals H2H19%
81%Wins the Game19%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Bayern MünchenInjuries · VfB StuttgartLive scores →

Statistical Context

Bayern München

DWDDW
  • DOct 21, 26H · Arsenal2-2
  • WOct 17, 26H · RB Leipzig6-1
  • DOct 13, 26A · Viking3-3
  • DOct 10, 26A · FC Augsburg2-2
  • WSep 18, 26H · Union Berlin7-0

VfB Stuttgart

LDLWW
  • LOct 23, 26H · Borussia Mönchengladbach2-3
  • DOct 20, 26H · Atletico Madrid1-1
  • LOct 17, 26A · Hamburger SV1-0
  • WOct 14, 26A · Slovan Bratislava0-3
  • WOct 10, 26A · SC Paderborn 070-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Borussia Dortmund7+817WDDWW
2Bayern München6+1714WDWWD
3SC Freiburg6+913LWDWW
141899 Hoffenheim6-36WLLWL
15VfB Stuttgart7-36LLWLL
16FC Schalke 047-36DLLDW

Head to Head

8
Bayern München
0
Draws
1
VfB Stuttgart
  • May 23, 26Bayern München – VfB Stuttgart3-0
  • Apr 19, 26Bayern München – VfB Stuttgart4-2
  • Dec 6, 25VfB Stuttgart – Bayern München0-5
  • Aug 16, 25VfB Stuttgart – Bayern München1-2
  • Feb 28, 25VfB Stuttgart – Bayern München1-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
Played62
Goals Scored226
Goals Conceded51
Avg Scored3.73.0
Avg Conceded0.80.5
Clean Sheets21

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
Over 2.5 Goals10/107/10
Both Teams Scored7/105/10
Clean Sheets3/104/10

Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart — Match Analysis

Bayern München are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record over Stuttgart. The main risk is their injury list, which could disrupt their usual fluidity, but Stuttgart's own absences and poor away form make an upset unlikely.

Bayern München are clear favourites to win this Bundesliga clash at the Allianz Arena, with the market and the statistical model both pointing strongly in their direction. The home side's recent form is exceptional, having won their last five matches, and they hold a dominant head-to-head record over VfB Stuttgart, winning eight of the last nine meetings.

Form Analysis: Bayern München arrive on the back of a five-game winning streak, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2. VfB Stuttgart, meanwhile, have been inconsistent, with a record of two wins, two draws and a loss in their last five, though they have scored at a higher average of 3.4 goals per game. However, Bayern's momentum and home advantage give them a decisive edge.

Key Factors: The most significant factor is Bayern's overwhelming head-to-head dominance, having won eight of the last nine encounters. Additionally, Bayern's home form is formidable, and despite missing several key players, their squad depth remains superior. Stuttgart also have injury concerns, with nine players out, which weakens their defensive options.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Bayern München victory. The market implies a high probability of a home win, and the statistical model agrees. While Stuttgart are capable of scoring, Bayern's overall quality and home advantage should prove decisive.

Win Probabilities: Bayern München: 77% · Draw: 15% · VfB Stuttgart: 8%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 74% · Under 2.5: 26% · BTTS: 70%

H2H: Bayern München wins: 8 · Draws: 0 · VfB Stuttgart wins: 1

Form (latest first): Bayern München: DWDDW · VfB Stuttgart: LDLWW

  • Harry Kane vs Jeff Chabot: Kane's movement and finishing will test Chabot's defensive positioning and aerial ability.
  • Joshua Kimmich vs Angelo Stiller: The midfield duel will be crucial, with Kimmich's passing range against Stiller's energy and pressing.
  • Dayot Upamecano vs Deniz Undav: Upamecano's pace and strength will be key in containing Undav's runs in behind.

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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
BundesligaGermany
SC Freiburg
Oct 2516:30
Bayern München
17.6913%
X4.3523%
21.5664%
BundesligaGermany
SV Elversberg
Oct 3019:30
FSV Mainz 05
14.3523%
X3.4529%
22.0848%
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Oct 3114:30
1899 Hoffenheim
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Oct 3114:30
SC Paderborn 07
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
BundesligaGermany
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 3114:30
VfB Stuttgart
11.9252%
X3.5728%
25.0020%
BundesligaGermany
FC Augsburg
Oct 3114:30
SC Freiburg
13.8526%
X3.3330%
22.2744%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Oct 3114:30
RB Leipzig
14.5522%
X3.5728%
22.0050%
BundesligaGermany
Bayern München
Oct 3117:30
Borussia Dortmund
11.4171%
X5.2619%
210.0010%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Nov 114:30
1. FC Köln
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
BundesligaGermany
Eintracht Frankfurt
Nov 116:30
Hamburger SV
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
BundesligaGermany
Hamburger SV
Nov 619:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
BundesligaGermany
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 714:30
Bayern München
Early projection
17.6913%
X6.2516%
21.4171%
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 714:30
SV Elversberg
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
BundesligaGermany
RB Leipzig
Nov 714:30
FC Augsburg
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Nov 714:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.8526%
22.8635%

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