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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg

Result • Bundesliga·RB Leipzig·FC Augsburg

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Mar 7, 2026
14:30
high Confidence
WINNER
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.42
X5.00
26.25
Stadium
Red Bull Arena
high Confidence
FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg

Away
Odds
11.42
X5.00
26.25
Stadium
Red Bull Arena
Win Probabilities
66%
RB Leipzig
19%
Draw
15%
FC Augsburg
Home1.4266%
Draw5.0019%
Away6.2515%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Leipzig's historical might and home fortress prevailing over Augsburg's fiery streak. Ancient wisdom reveals that standings and injuries tilt the scales toward the hosts in this Bundesliga clash.

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns RB Leipzig a 66% win probability, a 19% chance of a draw, and FC Augsburg a 15% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. 23'
    Missed penalty: K. SchlotterbeckFC Augsburg · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: K. SchlotterbeckMissed penalty
  2. 39'
    Goal: R. FellhauerFC Augsburg · Assist: F. Rieder
    Goal: R. FellhauerAssist: F. Rieder
  3. 46'
    Substitution: A. KadeFC Augsburg · Out: M. Komur
    Substitution: A. KadeOut: M. Komur
  4. Substitution: J. BakayokoOut: A. Nusa
    61'
    Substitution: J. BakayokoRB Leipzig · Out: A. Nusa
  5. Substitution: E. BanzuziOut: B. Gruda
    62'
    Substitution: E. BanzuziRB Leipzig · Out: B. Gruda
  6. 62'
    Yellow Card: N. BanksFC Augsburg
    Yellow Card: N. Banks
  7. 72'
    Substitution: M. WolfFC Augsburg · Out: R. Fellhauer
    Substitution: M. WolfOut: R. Fellhauer
  8. Substitution: C. HarderOut: Romulo Cardoso
    74'
    Substitution: C. HarderRB Leipzig · Out: Romulo Cardoso
  9. Substitution: B. HenrichsOut: R. Baku
    74'
    Substitution: B. HenrichsRB Leipzig · Out: R. Baku
  10. Goal: Y. DiomandeAssist: C. Harder
    76'
    Goal: Y. DiomandeRB Leipzig · Assist: C. Harder
  11. 76'
    Substitution: E. RexhbecajFC Augsburg · Out: K. Jakic
    Substitution: E. RexhbecajOut: K. Jakic
  12. 78'
    Yellow Card: D. GiannoulisFC Augsburg
    Yellow Card: D. Giannoulis
  13. 85'
    Substitution: M. GregoritschFC Augsburg · Out: R. Ribeiro
    Substitution: M. GregoritschOut: R. Ribeiro
  14. 85'
    Substitution: T. SchnitzerFC Augsburg · Out: N. Banks
    Substitution: T. SchnitzerOut: N. Banks
  15. Own goal: Arthur Chaves (Own goal)
    90+2'
    Own goal: Arthur Chaves (Own goal)RB Leipzig
  16. Substitution: T. GomisOut: Y. Diomande
    90+5'
    Substitution: T. GomisRB Leipzig · Out: Y. Diomande
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1C. Baumgartner vs Augsburg Defense: Baumgartner, with 5 goals and 3 assists, will challenge Augsburg's defensive line, which has shown resilience with 2 clean sheets but faces injury issues.
2Rômulo vs Augsburg Midfield: Rômulo, contributing 4 goals and 3 assists, will be key in midfield battles against Augsburg's 3-4-2-1 setup, testing their defensive organization.
3Augsburg Attack vs Leipzig Defense: Augsburg's attackers, with an average of 1.6 goals scored, will face Leipzig's defense that has conceded 1.6 goals per match and no clean sheets recently.
Strengths · Weaknesses

RB Leipzig

  • Higher league standing (5th place with 44 points)
  • Strong home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Average goals conceded of 1.6 per match

FC Augsburg

  • Current 3 win streak showing strong momentum
  • Better defensive record with 2 clean sheets in last 5 matches and average goals conceded of 1.0
  • Lower league standing (9th place with 31 points and -11 GD)
  • 3 players out due to injuries (doubtful), potentially weakening the squad
Head-to-head →Injuries · RB LeipzigInjuries · FC AugsburgLive scores →

Statistical Context

RB Leipzig

LWLLW
  • LSep 20, 26A · Bayer Leverkusen2-0
  • WSep 13, 26H · Hamburger SV5-0
  • LSep 10, 26A · Como4-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · Werder Bremen3-1
  • WAug 29, 26H · Borussia Mönchengladbach3-0

FC Augsburg

LDWWW
  • LSep 19, 26A · Werder Bremen3-2
  • DSep 12, 26H · Bayer Leverkusen2-2
  • WSep 6, 26A · Eintracht Frankfurt1-4
  • WAug 30, 26H · FC Schalke 043-0
  • WAug 22, 26A · Energie Cottbus0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3SC Freiburg4+910DWWW
4FC Augsburg4+57LDWW
5Bayer Leverkusen4+57WDWL
6FSV Mainz 054+47WLWD
7SV Elversberg4+17DLWW
8Werder Bremen407WDWL
9RB Leipzig4+46LWLW
10Eintracht Frankfurt4-15DWLD

Head to Head

6
RB Leipzig
4
Draws
0
FC Augsburg
  • Oct 25, 25FC Augsburg – RB Leipzig0-6
  • Feb 14, 25FC Augsburg – RB Leipzig0-0
  • Sep 28, 24RB Leipzig – FC Augsburg4-0
  • Feb 10, 24FC Augsburg – RB Leipzig2-2
  • Sep 16, 23RB Leipzig – FC Augsburg3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

RB LeipzigFC Augsburg
Played44
Goals Scored911
Goals Conceded56
Avg Scored2.32.8
Avg Conceded1.31.5
Clean Sheets21

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Leipzig's historical might and home fortress prevailing over Augsburg's fiery streak. Ancient wisdom reveals that standings and injuries tilt the scales toward the hosts in this Bundesliga clash.

Based on the structured data, RB Leipzig is predicted to win this Bundesliga match against FC Augsburg, with a 66% probability from bookmaker-implied odds and support from the API-Football model's predicted winner and advice.

Form Analysis: RB Leipzig has a 3 unbeaten streak (WDDWL) with an average of 1.6 goals scored and conceded per match, while FC Augsburg is on a 3 win streak (WWWLW) with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Both teams show strong recent form, but Leipzig's unbeaten run includes draws against potentially tougher opposition.

Key Factors: 1. Market and model consensus: Bookmaker odds give Leipzig a 66% win probability, and the API-Football model predicts Leipzig as the winner with a double chance advice, indicating statistical support. 2. Standings and historical dominance: Leipzig is 5th with 44 points and a +13 GD, compared to Augsburg's 9th with 31 points and -11 GD, and Leipzig has won 6 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings with no losses. 3. Home advantage and injuries: Leipzig has a home advantage rating of 0.55, and Augsburg has 3 players out (doubtful) versus Leipzig's 1, potentially weakening Augsburg's squad.

Conclusion: The data-driven verdict favors RB Leipzig due to higher league standing, historical head-to-head dominance, and consensus from market and model probabilities, outweighing Augsburg's recent win streak.

Win Probabilities: RB Leipzig: 66% · Draw: 19% · FC Augsburg: 15%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: RB Leipzig wins: 6 · Draws: 4 · FC Augsburg wins: 0

Form (latest first): RB Leipzig: LWLLW · FC Augsburg: LDWWW

  • C. Baumgartner vs Augsburg Defense: Baumgartner, with 5 goals and 3 assists, will challenge Augsburg's defensive line, which has shown resilience with 2 clean sheets but faces injury issues.
  • Rômulo vs Augsburg Midfield: Rômulo, contributing 4 goals and 3 assists, will be key in midfield battles against Augsburg's 3-4-2-1 setup, testing their defensive organization.
  • Augsburg Attack vs Leipzig Defense: Augsburg's attackers, with an average of 1.6 goals scored, will face Leipzig's defense that has conceded 1.6 goals per match and no clean sheets recently.

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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 918:30
Werder Bremen
11.4768%
X4.7621%
29.0911%
BundesligaGermany
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 1013:30
Bayer Leverkusen
13.7027%
X3.2331%
22.3842%
BundesligaGermany
1899 Hoffenheim
Oct 1013:30
Hamburger SV
11.5266%
X4.5522%
28.3312%
BundesligaGermany
FC Augsburg
Oct 1013:30
Bayern München
114.297%
X6.6715%
21.2878%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Oct 1013:30
SV Elversberg
13.5728%
X3.2331%
22.4441%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Oct 1013:30
VfB Stuttgart
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
BundesligaGermany
RB Leipzig
Oct 1016:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
11.5963%
X4.3523%
27.1414%
BundesligaGermany
1. FC Köln
Oct 1113:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
BundesligaGermany
SC Freiburg
Oct 1115:30
FC Schalke 04
11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
BundesligaGermany
Eintracht Frankfurt
Oct 1618:30
1. FC Köln
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Oct 1713:30
SC Paderborn 07
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Oct 1713:30
FSV Mainz 05
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
BundesligaGermany
Hamburger SV
Oct 1713:30
VfB Stuttgart
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Oct 1713:30
Borussia Dortmund
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
BundesligaGermany
SV Elversberg
Oct 1713:30
FC Augsburg
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%

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