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  1. Home
  2. Premiership
  3. Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Result • Premiership·Kilmarnock·Celtic

Premiership
Premiership
Aug 9, 2026
12:30
high Confidence
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Home
Final Score
1-5
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-5
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
17.60
X5.00
21.35
Stadium
Rugby Park
high Confidence
WINNER
Celtic

Celtic

Away
Odds
17.60
X5.00
21.35
Stadium
Rugby Park
Win Probabilities
12%
Kilmarnock
19%
Draw
69%
Celtic
Home7.6012%
Draw5.0019%
Away1.3569%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Celtic are clear favourites, backed by superior form and league standing, and are expected to secure a comfortable away win. The main risk is Kilmarnock's physical approach in wet conditions potentially causing an upset.

Our AI model analyzes this Premiership fixture between Kilmarnock and Celtic using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Kilmarnock a 12% win probability, a 19% chance of a draw, and Celtic a 69% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 2'
    Goal: K. HoghCeltic · Assist: A. Engels
    Goal: K. HoghAssist: A. Engels
  2. Yellow Card: J. Hugill
    26'
    Yellow Card: J. HugillKilmarnock
  3. 33'
    Goal: K. HoghCeltic · Assist: B. Nygren
    Goal: K. HoghAssist: B. Nygren
  4. 35'
    Goal: K. HoghCeltic · Assist: C. Duran
    Goal: K. HoghAssist: C. Duran
  5. 46'
    Substitution: C. DonovanCeltic · Out: A. Johnston
    Substitution: C. DonovanOut: A. Johnston
  6. 47'
    Goal: B. NygrenCeltic
    Goal: B. Nygren
  7. Goal: M. Schjonning-LarsenAssist: T. Lowery
    56'
    Goal: M. Schjonning-LarsenKilmarnock · Assist: T. Lowery
  8. 64'
    Substitution: S. TounektiCeltic · Out: C. Duran
    Substitution: S. TounektiOut: C. Duran
  9. 74'
    Substitution: L. McCowanCeltic · Out: Yang Hyun-Jun
    Substitution: L. McCowanOut: Yang Hyun-Jun
  10. 74'
    Substitution: J. ForrestCeltic · Out: B. Nygren
    Substitution: J. ForrestOut: B. Nygren
  11. Substitution: M. O'HaraOut: M. Schjonning-Larsen
    74'
    Substitution: M. O'HaraKilmarnock · Out: M. Schjonning-Larsen
  12. Substitution: B. RiceOut: T. John-Jules
    75'
    Substitution: B. RiceKilmarnock · Out: T. John-Jules
  13. 75'
    Goal: L. McCowanCeltic
    Goal: L. McCowan
  14. 82'
    Substitution: C. OsmandCeltic · Out: K. Hogh
    Substitution: C. OsmandOut: K. Hogh
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Kilmarnock

  • Physical style suited to rainy conditions
  • Home advantage at Rugby Park
  • Poor recent form with a loss
  • Low league position and negative goal difference

Celtic

  • Winning momentum from last match
  • Higher league position and positive goal difference
  • Potential complacency as heavy favourites

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
69%
API-Football
45%
57%
Celtic113257

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (57%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Celtic are the clear favourites for this Premiership clash at Rugby Park, with the market and the statistical model both pointing decisively towards an away victory. The odds imply a strong edge for the visitors, and the model agrees, giving them a substantial probability of taking all three points.

Form Analysis: Celtic come into this match on the back of a win in their last outing, having secured three points and a positive goal difference. Kilmarnock, by contrast, lost their most recent match, scoring three but conceding four, and have yet to register a win this season. This contrast in momentum further tilts the balance in Celtic's favour.

Key Factors: The most decisive factors are the clear disparity in current form, with Celtic winning and Kilmarnock losing, and the league standings, where Celtic sit 5 places above Kilmarnock with 3 points already on the board. Additionally, the weather conditions—light rain and a strong impact rating—may favour a physical style, which could suit Celtic's robust approach.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable away win. Celtic's superior form, higher league position, and the backing of both the odds and the model make them the overwhelming favourites. Kilmarnock will need a significant improvement to trouble the visitors.

Statistical ContextCeltic

Combo Double chance : draw or Celtic and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
KilmarnockCeltic
49%Strength50%
75%Attacking Potential25%
50%Defensive Potential100%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength100%
24%Goals H2H76%
49%Wins the Game50%
Head-to-head →Injuries · KilmarnockInjuries · CelticLive scores →

Statistical Context

Kilmarnock

WDLLL
  • WSep 15, 26A · Hibernian0-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Aberdeen0-0
  • LSep 2, 26H · ST Mirren0-1
  • LAug 29, 26H · Dundee Utd0-4
  • LAug 2, 26A · ST Johnstone4-3

Celtic

LWWWW
  • LSep 17, 26H · Ferencvarosi TC1-3
  • WSep 9, 26A · ST Johnstone0-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · ST Mirren1-2
  • WSep 2, 26H · Aberdeen3-0
  • WAug 29, 26H · Falkirk2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Celtic6+1118WWWWW
2Rangers6+313WWWWL
11Dundee Utd6-55DLWLL
12Kilmarnock6-94WDLLL

Head to Head

1
Kilmarnock
1
Draws
8
Celtic
  • Feb 15, 26Kilmarnock – Celtic2-3
  • Nov 9, 25Celtic – Kilmarnock4-0
  • Sep 14, 25Kilmarnock – Celtic1-2
  • Apr 12, 25Celtic – Kilmarnock5-1
  • Jan 18, 25Celtic – Kilmarnock2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

KilmarnockCeltic
Played5—
Goals Scored4—
Goals Conceded14—
Avg Scored0.8—
Avg Conceded2.8—
Clean Sheets1—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

KilmarnockCeltic
Over 2.5 Goals—8/10
Both Teams Scored—6/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Kilmarnock vs Celtic — Match Analysis

Celtic are clear favourites, backed by superior form and league standing, and are expected to secure a comfortable away win. The main risk is Kilmarnock's physical approach in wet conditions potentially causing an upset.

Celtic are the clear favourites for this Premiership clash at Rugby Park, with the market and the statistical model both pointing decisively towards an away victory. The odds imply a strong edge for the visitors, and the model agrees, giving them a substantial probability of taking all three points.

Form Analysis: Celtic come into this match on the back of a win in their last outing, having secured three points and a positive goal difference. Kilmarnock, by contrast, lost their most recent match, scoring three but conceding four, and have yet to register a win this season. This contrast in momentum further tilts the balance in Celtic's favour.

Key Factors: The most decisive factors are the clear disparity in current form, with Celtic winning and Kilmarnock losing, and the league standings, where Celtic sit 5 places above Kilmarnock with 3 points already on the board. Additionally, the weather conditions—light rain and a strong impact rating—may favour a physical style, which could suit Celtic's robust approach.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable away win. Celtic's superior form, higher league position, and the backing of both the odds and the model make them the overwhelming favourites. Kilmarnock will need a significant improvement to trouble the visitors.

Win Probabilities: Kilmarnock: 12% · Draw: 19% · Celtic: 69%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Kilmarnock wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Celtic wins: 8

Form (latest first): Kilmarnock: WDLLL · Celtic: LWWWW

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Premiership

Premiership

Scotland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Sep 1914:00
Aberdeen
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
PremiershipScotland
ST Mirren
Sep 1914:00
Dundee Utd
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee
Sep 1914:00
Motherwell
13.2331%
X3.5728%
22.4441%
PremiershipScotland
ST Johnstone
Sep 1914:00
Falkirk
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Sep 1916:45
Heart Of Midlothian
15.2619%
X3.5728%
21.8953%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Sep 2011:00
Rangers
11.9252%
X3.5728%
25.0020%
PremiershipScotland
Heart Of Midlothian
Oct 1014:00
ST Mirren
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
PremiershipScotland
Rangers
Oct 1014:00
Kilmarnock
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee Utd
Oct 1014:00
Hibernian
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Oct 1014:00
Dundee
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Oct 1111:00
Celtic
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 1113:00
ST Johnstone
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Oct 1714:00
Falkirk
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Oct 1714:00
Motherwell
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 1714:00
ST Mirren
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%

Betting Tips

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