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  1. Home
  2. Premiership
  3. Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee

Result • Premiership·Heart Of Midlothian·Dundee

Premiership
Premiership
Sep 6, 2026
14:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.51
X4.20
25.75
Stadium
Tynecastle Park
high Confidence
Dundee

Dundee

Away
Odds
11.51
X4.20
25.75
Stadium
Tynecastle Park
Win Probabilities
64%
Heart Of Midlothian
24%
Draw
12%
Dundee
Home1.5164%
Draw4.2024%
Away5.7512%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Heart of Midlothian are clear favourites, backed by an unbeaten run and a dominant head-to-head record over Dundee. The main risk is that Hearts have not kept a clean sheet recently, so Dundee could find the net, but a home win remains the most probable outcome.

Our AI model analyzes this Premiership fixture between Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Heart Of Midlothian a 64% win probability, a 24% chance of a draw, and Dundee a 12% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 64%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 64%

Match Events

  1. 10'
    Substitution: Bobby WalesDundee · Out: Joe Westley
    Substitution: Bobby WalesOut: Joe Westley
  2. 17'
    Goal: Bradley·FinkDundee · Assist: Imari Samuels
    Goal: Bradley·FinkAssist: Imari Samuels
  3. Yellow Card: Josh Mcpake
    35'
    Yellow Card: Josh McpakeHeart Of Midlothian
  4. 45'
    Substitution: Jack MoorhouseDundee · Out: Ryan Finnigan
    Substitution: Jack MoorhouseOut: Ryan Finnigan
  5. Substitution: Harry MilneOut: Oisin McEntee
    45'
    Substitution: Harry MilneHeart Of Midlothian · Out: Oisin McEntee
  6. 45+8'
    Yellow Card: Ryan FinniganDundee
    Yellow Card: Ryan Finnigan
  7. Substitution: Sabah KerjotaOut: Calvin Miller
    60'
    Substitution: Sabah KerjotaHeart Of Midlothian · Out: Calvin Miller
  8. Substitution: Christian Dahle BorchgrevinkOut: Jordi Altena
    60'
    Substitution: Christian Dahle BorchgrevinkHeart Of Midlothian · Out: Jordi Altena
  9. 62'
    Yellow Card: Ethan HamiltonDundee
    Yellow Card: Ethan Hamilton
  10. 65'
    Substitution: Joe WrightDundee · Out: Bradley·Fink
    Substitution: Joe WrightOut: Bradley·Fink
  11. 65'
    Substitution: Joseph BevanDundee · Out: Alan Forrest
    Substitution: Joseph BevanOut: Alan Forrest
  12. Substitution: Jerome WilliamsOut: James wilson
    66'
    Substitution: Jerome WilliamsHeart Of Midlothian · Out: James wilson
  13. 69'
    Yellow Card: Imari SamuelsDundee
    Yellow Card: Imari Samuels
  14. 76'
    Substitution: Zan BesirDundee · Out: Finlay Robertson
    Substitution: Zan BesirOut: Finlay Robertson
  15. VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedChristian Dahle Borchgrevink
    82'
    VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedHeart Of Midlothian · Christian Dahle Borchgrevink
  16. Penalty: Claudio Rafael Soares Braga (Penalty)
    84'
    Penalty: Claudio Rafael Soares Braga (Penalty)Heart Of Midlothian
  17. 87'
    Substitution: Charlie ReillyDundee · Out: Imari Samuels
    Substitution: Charlie ReillyOut: Imari Samuels
  18. 90'
    VAR: VAR · Card upgrade confirmedDundee · Zan Besir
    VAR: VAR · Card upgrade confirmedZan Besir
  19. 90+1'
    Red Card: Zan BesirDundee
    Red Card: Zan Besir
  20. Goal: Sabah KerjotaAssist: Josh Mcpake
    90+6'
    Goal: Sabah KerjotaHeart Of Midlothian · Assist: Josh Mcpake
  21. Yellow Card: Sabah Kerjota
    90+7'
    Yellow Card: Sabah KerjotaHeart Of Midlothian
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Heart Of Midlothian

  • Strong attacking form, averaging 2.8 goals per game
  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches with a 67% win rate
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches, indicating defensive lapses
  • Conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game

Dundee

  • Averaging 1.2 goals scored per game, showing some attacking threat
  • Kept two clean sheets in their last five matches
  • Inconsistent form with a recent run of D-L-W-W-L
  • Conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game, but against stronger opposition this could be higher

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
64%
API-Football
45%
55%
Heart Of Midlothian543511

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (55%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Heart of Midlothian enter this Premiership clash as clear favourites, with the bookmaker-implied probabilities and the API-Football model both pointing to a home victory. The statistical model gives the home side a 67.8% overall edge, and the head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in their favour, with eight wins in the last ten meetings.

Form Analysis: Hearts are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five matches, winning 67% of them and averaging 2.8 goals per game. They have scored seven goals in their last two outings, showcasing their attacking potency. Dundee, meanwhile, have been inconsistent, with a recent run of D-L-W-W-L, and they have kept only two clean sheets in their last five. Hearts' attacking momentum should prove decisive against a Dundee side that has shown defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors: The most significant factor is the head-to-head dominance, with Hearts winning eight of the last ten encounters. Additionally, Hearts' home record is perfect this season (2 wins from 2), and they sit higher in the standings with a superior goal difference. Dundee's away form is not provided, but their overall inconsistency and the strength of the home side suggest they will struggle to contain Hearts' attack.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win. Hearts' superior form, historical dominance, and home advantage make them the clear favourites. Dundee will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat, but the evidence strongly favours a Hearts victory.

Statistical ContextHeart Of Midlothian

Double chance : Heart Of Midlothian or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Heart Of MidlothianDundee
67%Strength32%
63%Attacking Potential38%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
82%Goals H2H18%
67%Wins the Game32%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Heart Of MidlothianInjuries · DundeeLive scores →

Statistical Context

Heart Of Midlothian

WDLWW
  • WOct 10, 26H · ST Mirren5-0
  • DSep 19, 26A · Kilmarnock1-1
  • LSep 15, 26A · Falkirk2-1
  • WSep 3, 26A · Hibernian1-3
  • WAug 29, 26H · ST Johnstone2-1

Dundee

WWDLW
  • WOct 10, 26A · Falkirk1-2
  • WSep 19, 26H · Motherwell2-1
  • DSep 2, 26H · ST Johnstone1-1
  • LAug 30, 26H · Hibernian1-2
  • WAug 22, 26A · Dundee Utd0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Rangers8+619WWWWW
3Heart Of Midlothian8+1116WDLWW
4Dundee8+313WWLDL
5ST Johnstone8011WDLWD

Head to Head

8
Heart Of Midlothian
0
Draws
2
Dundee
  • Mar 21, 26Heart Of Midlothian – Dundee1-0
  • Jan 11, 26Dundee – Heart Of Midlothian0-1
  • Nov 1, 25Heart Of Midlothian – Dundee4-0
  • Apr 26, 25Heart Of Midlothian – Dundee0-1
  • Mar 7, 25Heart Of Midlothian – Dundee3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Heart Of MidlothianDundee
Played77
Goals Scored149
Goals Conceded87
Avg Scored2.01.3
Avg Conceded1.11.0
Clean Sheets12

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee — Match Analysis

Heart of Midlothian are clear favourites, backed by an unbeaten run and a dominant head-to-head record over Dundee. The main risk is that Hearts have not kept a clean sheet recently, so Dundee could find the net, but a home win remains the most probable outcome.

Heart of Midlothian enter this Premiership clash as clear favourites, with the bookmaker-implied probabilities and the API-Football model both pointing to a home victory. The statistical model gives the home side a 67.8% overall edge, and the head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in their favour, with eight wins in the last ten meetings.

Form Analysis: Hearts are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five matches, winning 67% of them and averaging 2.8 goals per game. They have scored seven goals in their last two outings, showcasing their attacking potency. Dundee, meanwhile, have been inconsistent, with a recent run of D-L-W-W-L, and they have kept only two clean sheets in their last five. Hearts' attacking momentum should prove decisive against a Dundee side that has shown defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors: The most significant factor is the head-to-head dominance, with Hearts winning eight of the last ten encounters. Additionally, Hearts' home record is perfect this season (2 wins from 2), and they sit higher in the standings with a superior goal difference. Dundee's away form is not provided, but their overall inconsistency and the strength of the home side suggest they will struggle to contain Hearts' attack.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win. Hearts' superior form, historical dominance, and home advantage make them the clear favourites. Dundee will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat, but the evidence strongly favours a Hearts victory.

Win Probabilities: Heart Of Midlothian: 64% · Draw: 24% · Dundee: 12%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 63% · Under 2.5: 37% · BTTS: 64%

H2H: Heart Of Midlothian wins: 8 · Draws: 0 · Dundee wins: 2

Form (latest first): Heart Of Midlothian: WDLWW · Dundee: WWDLW

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Premiership

Premiership

Scotland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Oct 1714:00
Falkirk
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Oct 1714:00
Motherwell
14.0025%
X3.1332%
22.3343%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 1714:00
ST Mirren
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
PremiershipScotland
ST Johnstone
Oct 1714:00
Dundee Utd
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee
Oct 1719:00
Rangers
19.0911%
X4.5522%
21.4967%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Oct 1814:00
Heart Of Midlothian
11.5963%
X4.3523%
27.1414%
PremiershipScotland
ST Mirren
Oct 2414:00
Dundee
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
PremiershipScotland
Rangers
Oct 2414:00
ST Johnstone
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee Utd
Oct 2414:00
Aberdeen
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Oct 2414:00
Kilmarnock
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Oct 2512:00
Celtic
Early projection
17.1414%
X5.8817%
21.4569%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Oct 2514:00
Heart Of Midlothian
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Oct 2819:45
Dundee Utd
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.6913%
210.0010%
PremiershipScotland
ST Mirren
Oct 2819:45
Hibernian
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 2819:45
Falkirk
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%

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