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  1. Home
  2. Premiership
  3. Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian

Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian

Result • Premiership·Falkirk·Heart Of Midlothian

Premiership
Premiership
Sep 15, 2026
18:45
medium Confidence
WINNER
Falkirk

Falkirk

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.50
X3.40
21.91
Stadium
Falkirk Stadium
medium Confidence
Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian

Away
Odds
13.50
X3.40
21.91
Stadium
Falkirk Stadium
Win Probabilities
21%
Falkirk
30%
Draw
49%
Heart Of Midlothian
Home3.5021%
Draw3.4030%
Away1.9149%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Heart of Midlothian are clear favourites, backed by four wins in five and a dominant head-to-head record. Falkirk's winless run and blunt attack make an upset unlikely, though a stubborn defensive display could frustrate the visitors.

Our AI model analyzes this Premiership fixture between Falkirk and Heart Of Midlothian using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Falkirk a 21% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Heart Of Midlothian a 49% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Finley Frank Barbrook
    3'
    Yellow Card: Finley Frank BarbrookFalkirk
  2. Goal: Ben krauhausAssist: Ryan Strain
    8'
    Goal: Ben krauhausFalkirk · Assist: Ryan Strain
  3. 22'
    Goal: James wilsonHeart Of Midlothian · Assist: Josh Mcpake
    Goal: James wilsonAssist: Josh Mcpake
  4. 28'
    Yellow Card: Claudio Rafael Soares BragaHeart Of Midlothian
    Yellow Card: Claudio Rafael Soares Braga
  5. 35'
    Yellow Card: Yan DhandaHeart Of Midlothian
    Yellow Card: Yan Dhanda
  6. 45'
    Substitution: Jerome WilliamsHeart Of Midlothian · Out: James wilson
    Substitution: Jerome WilliamsOut: James wilson
  7. Yellow Card: Ryan Strain
    55'
    Yellow Card: Ryan StrainFalkirk
  8. Substitution: Calvin FodreyOut: Ben krauhaus
    57'
    Substitution: Calvin FodreyFalkirk · Out: Ben krauhaus
  9. Yellow Card: Owen Eames
    67'
    Yellow Card: Owen EamesFalkirk
  10. Goal: Owen Eames
    68'
    Goal: Owen EamesFalkirk
  11. 73'
    Substitution: Rogers MatoHeart Of Midlothian · Out: Josh Mcpake
    Substitution: Rogers MatoOut: Josh Mcpake
  12. 73'
    Substitution: Sabah KerjotaHeart Of Midlothian · Out: Calvin Miller
    Substitution: Sabah KerjotaOut: Calvin Miller
  13. 73'
    Substitution: Stephen KingsleyHeart Of Midlothian · Out: Harry Milne
    Substitution: Stephen KingsleyOut: Harry Milne
  14. Yellow Card: Calvin Fodrey
    75'
    Yellow Card: Calvin FodreyFalkirk
  15. 77'
    Yellow Card: Jamie McCartHeart Of Midlothian
    Yellow Card: Jamie McCart
  16. Substitution: Ross MaclverOut: Jacob Murrell
    78'
    Substitution: Ross MaclverFalkirk · Out: Jacob Murrell
  17. Substitution: Craig SibbaldOut: Finley Frank Barbrook
    79'
    Substitution: Craig SibbaldFalkirk · Out: Finley Frank Barbrook
  18. 80'
    Substitution: Christian Dahle BorchgrevinkHeart Of Midlothian · Out: Stuart Findlay
    Substitution: Christian Dahle BorchgrevinkOut: Stuart Findlay
  19. Substitution: Deniss MeļņiksOut: Owen Eames
    86'
    Substitution: Deniss MeļņiksFalkirk · Out: Owen Eames
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1S. Bain vs P. Kabore: Falkirk's goalkeeper faces a stern test against Hearts' in-form forward, whose movement and finishing could decide the game.
2L. Henderson vs S. Findlay: Falkirk's defender must contain Findlay's aerial threat from set pieces and his ability to step out with the ball.
3A. Doherty vs R. Fulton: Falkirk's attacker will look to test Hearts' goalkeeper, but Fulton's shot-stopping could frustrate the home side.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Falkirk

  • Capable of grinding out draws when defensive shape holds
  • One clean sheet in last five shows occasional solidity
  • Winless in five matches with only three goals scored
  • Failed to score in two of last five games

Heart Of Midlothian

  • Four wins in last five, scoring twelve goals
  • Strong head-to-head record with seven wins in last ten meetings
  • Conceded five goals in last five, showing occasional defensive lapses
  • One clean sheet in last five suggests vulnerability at the back

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
49%
API-Football
45%
47%
Heart Of Midlothian163847

Moderate agreement on away win (47%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Heart of Midlothian arrive at Falkirk Stadium as clear favourites, backed by a commanding recent record and a substantial edge in the league table. The visitors sit third with twelve points and a positive goal difference, while Falkirk are eleventh with just two points and a negative goal difference.

Form Analysis: The contrast in momentum is stark. Heart of Midlothian have won four of their last five, scoring twelve goals and conceding only five, with an average of 2.2 goals per game. Falkirk, by contrast, are without a win in five, drawing one and losing four, managing just three goals while conceding seven. Falkirk have also failed to score in two of those five outings, highlighting a blunt attacking edge.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours the visitors, who have won seven of the last ten meetings. The statistical comparison reinforces this, with Heart of Midlothian rated far higher in form, attack and overall strength. Falkirk's home record this season is two defeats from two, offering no comfort from home advantage. Weather conditions are mild and unlikely to disrupt either side.

Conclusion: The data points to a comfortable away victory. Falkirk's defensive resilience is modest and their attack has been largely ineffective, while Heart of Midlothian possess both the firepower and the confidence to capitalise. A narrow home win or a draw would require a significant reversal of current trends.

Statistical ContextHeart Of Midlothian

Winner : Heart Of Midlothian

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FalkirkHeart Of Midlothian
21%Strength78%
20%Attacking Potential80%
42%Defensive Potential58%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
20%H2H Strength80%
17%Goals H2H83%
21%Wins the Game78%
Head-to-head →Injuries · FalkirkInjuries · Heart Of MidlothianLive scores →

Statistical Context

Falkirk

DDLLD
  • DSep 19, 26A · ST Johnstone1-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Dundee Utd1-1
  • LSep 2, 26H · Rangers1-2
  • LAug 29, 26A · Celtic2-1
  • DAug 9, 26A · Motherwell0-0

Heart Of Midlothian

DWWWD
  • DSep 19, 26A · Kilmarnock1-1
  • WSep 6, 26H · Dundee2-1
  • WSep 3, 26A · Hibernian1-3
  • WAug 29, 26H · ST Johnstone2-1
  • DAug 26, 26A · Rapid Vienna1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Rangers6+313WWWWL
3Heart Of Midlothian6+612LWWWW
4ST Mirren6+210LLWDW
5Motherwell6-18LLWDD
6Dundee6+17LDLWW
7ST Johnstone6-17LWDLL
8Aberdeen6-17WDLLL
9Hibernian6-36LLLWW
10Falkirk6-35WDLLD
11Dundee Utd6-55DLWLL

Head to Head

2
Falkirk
1
Draws
7
Heart Of Midlothian
  • May 13, 26Heart Of Midlothian – Falkirk3-0
  • Feb 21, 26Heart Of Midlothian – Falkirk1-0
  • Jan 17, 26Heart Of Midlothian – Falkirk1-1
  • Dec 13, 25Falkirk – Heart Of Midlothian0-2
  • Sep 27, 25Heart Of Midlothian – Falkirk3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

FalkirkHeart Of Midlothian
Played66
Goals Scored513
Goals Conceded87
Avg Scored0.82.2
Avg Conceded1.31.2
Clean Sheets11

Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian — Match Analysis

Heart of Midlothian are clear favourites, backed by four wins in five and a dominant head-to-head record. Falkirk's winless run and blunt attack make an upset unlikely, though a stubborn defensive display could frustrate the visitors.

Heart of Midlothian arrive at Falkirk Stadium as clear favourites, backed by a commanding recent record and a substantial edge in the league table. The visitors sit third with twelve points and a positive goal difference, while Falkirk are eleventh with just two points and a negative goal difference.

Form Analysis: The contrast in momentum is stark. Heart of Midlothian have won four of their last five, scoring twelve goals and conceding only five, with an average of 2.2 goals per game. Falkirk, by contrast, are without a win in five, drawing one and losing four, managing just three goals while conceding seven. Falkirk have also failed to score in two of those five outings, highlighting a blunt attacking edge.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours the visitors, who have won seven of the last ten meetings. The statistical comparison reinforces this, with Heart of Midlothian rated far higher in form, attack and overall strength. Falkirk's home record this season is two defeats from two, offering no comfort from home advantage. Weather conditions are mild and unlikely to disrupt either side.

Conclusion: The data points to a comfortable away victory. Falkirk's defensive resilience is modest and their attack has been largely ineffective, while Heart of Midlothian possess both the firepower and the confidence to capitalise. A narrow home win or a draw would require a significant reversal of current trends.

Win Probabilities: Falkirk: 21% · Draw: 30% · Heart Of Midlothian: 49%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (14.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 49% · Under 2.5: 51% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Falkirk wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · Heart Of Midlothian wins: 7

Form (latest first): Falkirk: DDLLD · Heart Of Midlothian: DWWWD

  • S. Bain vs P. Kabore: Falkirk's goalkeeper faces a stern test against Hearts' in-form forward, whose movement and finishing could decide the game.
  • L. Henderson vs S. Findlay: Falkirk's defender must contain Findlay's aerial threat from set pieces and his ability to step out with the ball.
  • A. Doherty vs R. Fulton: Falkirk's attacker will look to test Hearts' goalkeeper, but Fulton's shot-stopping could frustrate the home side.

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Premiership

Premiership

Scotland13 · Upcoming Fixtures
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Sep 2011:00
Rangers
11.9252%
X3.5728%
25.0020%
PremiershipScotland
Heart Of Midlothian
Oct 1014:00
ST Mirren
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
PremiershipScotland
Rangers
Oct 1014:00
Kilmarnock
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee Utd
Oct 1014:00
Hibernian
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Oct 1014:00
Dundee
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Oct 1111:00
Celtic
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 1113:00
ST Johnstone
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Oct 1714:00
Falkirk
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Oct 1714:00
Motherwell
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 1714:00
ST Mirren
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
PremiershipScotland
ST Johnstone
Oct 1714:00
Dundee Utd
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee
Oct 1719:00
Rangers
Early projection
14.3523%
X5.0020%
21.7557%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Oct 1814:00
Heart Of Midlothian
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%

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