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  1. Home
  2. Premiership
  3. Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Prediction • Premiership·Kilmarnock·Motherwell

Premiership
Premiership
Oct 17, 2026
14:00
Early projection · Odds pending
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Rugby Park
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Motherwell

Motherwell

Away
Stadium
Rugby Park
Win Probabilities
30%
Kilmarnock
24%
Draw
46%
Motherwell
Home3.3330%
Draw4.1724%
Away2.1746%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Motherwell are favored at 46% to win away at Kilmarnock. The draw is rated 24% and the home win 30%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Kilmarnock vs Motherwell.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Kilmarnock
/10
2.0Motherwell
Kilmarnock
FormLatest first
WDLLL
Win Rate20%
Motherwell
FormLatest first
LLWDL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Kilmarnock
Home

Kilmarnock

Form
LLLDW
Latest first
3
Pos
44
Pts
-10
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 5 matches)

Clean Sheets120%
Goal Diff-10
  • Home crowd at Rugby Park provides familiar surroundings
  • Midfield options in Lowery and O'Hara offer control in central areas
  • Kiltie and John-Jules give a creative and physical presence in the front line

Head to Head

Last 10
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
2Wins
4
Draws
Motherwell
4Wins
Motherwell
20%40%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan242026
MotherwellMotherwell
4-0
Loss
KilmarnockKilmarnock
Nov222025
KilmarnockKilmarnock
1-3
Loss
MotherwellMotherwell
Aug302025
MotherwellMotherwell
2-2
Draw
KilmarnockKilmarnock
May142025
MotherwellMotherwell
3-0
Loss
KilmarnockKilmarnock
Apr52025
KilmarnockKilmarnock
2-0
Win
MotherwellMotherwell
Jan82025
KilmarnockKilmarnock
0-0
Draw
MotherwellMotherwell
Dec202024
MotherwellMotherwell
1-1
Draw
KilmarnockKilmarnock
Aug182024
MotherwellMotherwell
1-0
Loss
KilmarnockKilmarnock
Feb32024
MotherwellMotherwell
1-1
Draw
KilmarnockKilmarnock
Nov42023
KilmarnockKilmarnock
1-0
Win
MotherwellMotherwell

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Motherwell 4 - 0 Kilmarnock

Jan 24, 2026

63% / 23% / 14%

Kilmarnock3-4-2-1vs4-2-2-2MotherwellPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Premiership

League Statistics

Premiership • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Celtic
Celtic
6600143+1118
2
Rangers
Rangers
641174+313
3
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
6402137+612
4
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
631286+210
5
Motherwell
MotherwellAway
622289-18
6
Dundee
Dundee
621376+17
7
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
621389-17
8
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
621367-17
9
Hibernian
Hibernian
6204710-36
10
Falkirk
Falkirk
612358-35
11
Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
6123611-55
12
Kilmarnock
KilmarnockHome
6114514-94
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Motherwell

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

30%Kilmarnock
24%Draw
46%Motherwell

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 17 · 14:00
StadiumRugby Park
League StatsPremiership
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · KilmarnockInjuries · MotherwellLive scores →

Statistical Context

Kilmarnock

WDLLL
  • WSep 15, 26A · Hibernian0-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Aberdeen0-0
  • LSep 2, 26H · ST Mirren0-1
  • LAug 29, 26H · Dundee Utd0-4
  • LAug 9, 26H · Celtic1-5

Motherwell

LLWDL
  • LSep 15, 26H · Aberdeen0-4
  • LSep 5, 26A · Rangers1-0
  • WSep 2, 26H · Dundee Utd3-0
  • DAug 30, 26A · ST Mirren3-3
  • LAug 27, 26A · SC Freiburg4-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4ST Mirren6+210LLWDW
5Motherwell6-18LLWDD
6Dundee6+17LDLWW
7ST Johnstone6-17LWDLL
8Aberdeen6-17WDLLL
9Hibernian6-36LLLWW
10Falkirk6-35WDLLD
11Dundee Utd6-55DLWLL
12Kilmarnock6-94WDLLL

Head to Head

2
Kilmarnock
4
Draws
4
Motherwell
  • Jan 24, 26Motherwell – Kilmarnock4-0
  • Nov 22, 25Kilmarnock – Motherwell1-3
  • Aug 30, 25Motherwell – Kilmarnock2-2
  • May 14, 25Motherwell – Kilmarnock3-0
  • Apr 5, 25Kilmarnock – Motherwell2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

KilmarnockMotherwell
Played55
Goals Scored48
Goals Conceded145
Avg Scored0.81.6
Avg Conceded2.81.0
Clean Sheets12

Predicted line-ups: Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Predicted XI

Kilmarnock

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: S. Kettlewell

Motherwell

4-2-2-2Formation· Coach: J. Askou

  1. 21M. Connelly
  1. 3J. Girdwood-Reich
  2. 4Jamie Knight-Lebel
  3. 5M. Moormann
  4. 2S. O'Donnell
  1. 8L. Fadinger
  2. 71J. Hodge
  1. 63D. Levitt
  2. 11A. Lowry
  1. 17R. Charles-Cook
  2. 13J. Kanga
  1. 20N. Cleșcenco
  1. 10T. John-Jules
  2. 11G. Kiltie
  1. 37C. Burke
  2. 18T. Lowery
  3. 5M. O'Hara
  4. 49B. Rice
  1. 2J. Brandon
  2. 3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
  3. 4C. McCarthy
  1. 12C. Ferrie

Bench

  • 1M. Stryjek
  • 19J. Meier
  • 14G. Stanger
  • 7R. McKenzie
  • 8E. Ring
  • 21M. Schjønning-Larsen
  • 29D. Daniels

Bench

  • 1A. Paulsen
  • 20Dylan Williams
  • 45M. Emmanuel
  • 7T. Sparrow
  • 18Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
  • 15E. Björgólfs­son
  • 47S. Palmer-Houlden

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Motherwell are favored at 46% to win away at Kilmarnock. The draw is rated 24% and the home win 30%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Motherwell travel to Rugby Park as the side with the stronger overall profile, and the data points to an away win as the most likely outcome. The visitors sit fifth in the table with eight points, while Kilmarnock are bottom on four points with a goal difference of -9.…

Win Probabilities: Kilmarnock: 30% · Draw: 24% · Motherwell: 46%

H2H: Kilmarnock wins: 2 · Draws: 4 · Motherwell wins: 4

Form (latest first): Kilmarnock: WDLLL · Motherwell: LLWDL

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Premiership

Premiership

Scotland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Sep 1914:00
Aberdeen
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
ST Mirren
Sep 1914:00
Dundee Utd
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
Dundee
Sep 1914:00
Motherwell
13.2331%
X3.5728%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
ST Johnstone
Sep 1914:00
Falkirk
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Sep 1916:45
Heart Of Midlothian
15.2619%
X3.5728%
21.8953%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Sep 2011:00
Rangers
11.9252%
X3.5728%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
Heart Of Midlothian
Oct 1014:00
ST Mirren
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
Rangers
Oct 1014:00
Kilmarnock
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
Dundee Utd
Oct 1014:00
Hibernian
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Oct 1014:00
Dundee
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Oct 1111:00
Celtic
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 1113:00
ST Johnstone
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Oct 1714:00
Falkirk
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 1714:00
ST Mirren
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
PremiershipScotland
ST Johnstone
Oct 1714:00
Dundee Utd
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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