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  1. Home
  2. Premiership
  3. Falkirk vs Dundee

Falkirk vs Dundee

Result • Premiership·Falkirk·Dundee

Premiership
Premiership
Oct 10, 2026
14:00
low Confidence
Falkirk

Falkirk

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.95
X3.40
23.50
Stadium
Falkirk Stadium
low Confidence
WINNER
Dundee

Dundee

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.40
23.50
Stadium
Falkirk Stadium
Win Probabilities
40%
Falkirk
30%
Draw
30%
Dundee
Home1.9540%
Draw3.4030%
Away3.5030%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Falkirk hold a narrow edge at home, supported by a strong head-to-head record and a three-match unbeaten run, but Dundee's superior form and league position make this a tight contest. The main risk is Falkirk's porous defense, which could allow Dundee to snatch a result.

Our AI model analyzes this Premiership fixture between Falkirk and Dundee using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Falkirk a 40% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Dundee a 30% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 56%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 56%

Match Events

  1. Penalty: Jacob Murrell (Penalty)
    31'
    Penalty: Jacob Murrell (Penalty)Falkirk
  2. 52'
    Goal: Owen BevanDundee · Assist: Drey Wright
    Goal: Owen BevanAssist: Drey Wright
  3. Substitution: Finn YeatsOut: Jacob Murrell
    70'
    Substitution: Finn YeatsFalkirk · Out: Jacob Murrell
  4. Substitution: Ben ParkinsonOut: Ben krauhaus
    70'
    Substitution: Ben ParkinsonFalkirk · Out: Ben krauhaus
  5. Substitution: Craig SibbaldOut: Finley Frank Barbrook
    85'
    Substitution: Craig SibbaldFalkirk · Out: Finley Frank Barbrook
  6. Substitution: Conor McLeodOut: Ethan Ross
    90+1'
    Substitution: Conor McLeodFalkirk · Out: Ethan Ross
  7. Substitution: Jack McMillanOut: Ryan Strain
    90+1'
    Substitution: Jack McMillanFalkirk · Out: Ryan Strain
  8. 90+1'
    Goal: Ashley HayDundee · Assist: Ethan Hamilton
    Goal: Ashley HayAssist: Ethan Hamilton
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1A. Doherty vs O. Goodman: Falkirk's striker will look to test Dundee's goalkeeper with his finishing, while Goodman aims to keep a clean sheet.
2L. Henderson vs B. Wales: The Falkirk full-back must contain Dundee's lively forward to prevent crosses and shots.
3Finley Frank Barbrook vs R. Bland: The midfield duel will determine who controls possession and tempo in the center of the park.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Falkirk

  • Unbeaten in last three matches
  • Strong head-to-head record with 5 wins in last 9
  • Poor defensive record with no clean sheets in last 5
  • Low win rate of 14% in last 5

Dundee

  • Better recent form with 43% win rate
  • Higher league position (4th)
  • Inconsistent results with WLDLW in last 5
  • Only one clean sheet in last 5

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
38%
Dundee253838

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (25%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Falkirk enter this Premiership clash as narrow favourites, with the market giving them a slight edge over Dundee. The Bairns are unbeaten in their last three matches, showing resilience, but their overall form of DWDLL suggests they are far from convincing. Dundee, on the other hand, sit fourth in the table and have a better win rate over the last five games, making this a tight contest.

Form Analysis: Falkirk have scored 6 and conceded 9 in their last five, with a win rate of just 14%. Their defensive record is concerning, having kept no clean sheets. Dundee have scored 9 and conceded 7, with a win rate of 43% and one clean sheet. The visitors also have a superior overall statistical profile according to the API-Football comparison, which rates them higher in form, attack, defense, and head-to-head strength.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is remarkably balanced, with Falkirk winning 5 and Dundee 4 of the last 9 meetings, but recent encounters have been closely fought. Falkirk's home advantage is modest, with a home rating of 0.33 and a home record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses. The weather conditions, with patchy rain and wind, could affect both teams' passing and lead to a scrappy midfield battle. No significant injuries are reported for either side, so both teams are expected to field their strongest available line-ups.

Conclusion: While Falkirk have the slight edge according to the market, Dundee's better form and higher league position make this a close call. The most likely outcome is a narrow Falkirk win, but a draw or an away victory are equally plausible. The data points towards a low-scoring affair, with both teams likely to find the net.

Statistical ContextDundee

Double chance : draw or Dundee

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FalkirkDundee
40%Strength59%
46%Attacking Potential54%
46%Defensive Potential54%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
40%H2H Strength60%
27%Goals H2H73%
40%Wins the Game59%

More information

Premiership predicted line-ups: Gameweek 127/7Head-to-headFalkirk – DundeeInjuriesFalkirkInjuriesDundeeLive scores

Statistical Context

Falkirk

WWWDW
  • WOct 28, 26A · Aberdeen0-1
  • WOct 24, 26H · Kilmarnock3-0
  • WOct 17, 26A · Hibernian1-2
  • DSep 19, 26A · ST Johnstone1-1
  • WSep 15, 26H · Heart Of Midlothian2-1

Dundee

WLDWL
  • WOct 28, 26H · Kilmarnock3-1
  • LOct 24, 26A · ST Mirren2-1
  • DOct 17, 26H · Rangers2-2
  • WSep 19, 26H · Motherwell2-1
  • LSep 6, 26A · Heart Of Midlothian2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720DWLWD
4Dundee11+417WLDWW
5Dundee Utd11016DWDWW
6Falkirk11+115WWWLD
7ST Mirren11-714DWLLL

Head to Head

5
Falkirk
1
Draws
4
Dundee
  • Feb 11, 26Falkirk – Dundee1-0
  • Dec 27, 25Dundee – Falkirk1-0
  • Oct 25, 25Falkirk – Dundee2-1
  • Dec 8, 22Falkirk – Dundee0-3
  • Aug 30, 22Dundee – Falkirk3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

FalkirkDundee
Played1010
Goals Scored1214
Goals Conceded1212
Avg Scored1.21.4
Avg Conceded1.21.2
Clean Sheets22

Falkirk vs Dundee — Match Analysis

Falkirk hold a narrow edge at home, supported by a strong head-to-head record and a three-match unbeaten run, but Dundee's superior form and league position make this a tight contest. The main risk is Falkirk's porous defense, which could allow Dundee to snatch a result.

Falkirk enter this Premiership clash as narrow favourites, with the market giving them a slight edge over Dundee. The Bairns are unbeaten in their last three matches, showing resilience, but their overall form of DWDLL suggests they are far from convincing. Dundee, on the other hand, sit fourth in the table and have a better win rate over the last five games, making this a tight contest.

Form Analysis: Falkirk have scored 6 and conceded 9 in their last five, with a win rate of just 14%. Their defensive record is concerning, having kept no clean sheets. Dundee have scored 9 and conceded 7, with a win rate of 43% and one clean sheet. The visitors also have a superior overall statistical profile according to the API-Football comparison, which rates them higher in form, attack, defense, and head-to-head strength.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is remarkably balanced, with Falkirk winning 5 and Dundee 4 of the last 9 meetings, but recent encounters have been closely fought. Falkirk's home advantage is modest, with a home rating of 0.33 and a home record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses. The weather conditions, with patchy rain and wind, could affect both teams' passing and lead to a scrappy midfield battle. No significant injuries are reported for either side, so both teams are expected to field their strongest available line-ups.

Conclusion: While Falkirk have the slight edge according to the market, Dundee's better form and higher league position make this a close call. The most likely outcome is a narrow Falkirk win, but a draw or an away victory are equally plausible. The data points towards a low-scoring affair, with both teams likely to find the net.

Win Probabilities: Falkirk: 40% · Draw: 30% · Dundee: 30%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 51% · Under 2.5: 49% · BTTS: 56%

H2H: Falkirk wins: 5 · Draws: 1 · Dundee wins: 4

Form (latest first): Falkirk: WWWDW · Dundee: WLDWL

  • A. Doherty vs O. Goodman: Falkirk's striker will look to test Dundee's goalkeeper with his finishing, while Goodman aims to keep a clean sheet.
  • L. Henderson vs B. Wales: The Falkirk full-back must contain Dundee's lively forward to prevent crosses and shots.
  • Finley Frank Barbrook vs R. Bland: The midfield duel will determine who controls possession and tempo in the center of the park.

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Premiership

Premiership

Scotland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Oct 3115:00
ST Johnstone
13.7027%
X3.1332%
22.4441%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Oct 3115:00
ST Mirren
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Nov 113:00
Celtic
110.0010%
X5.2619%
21.4171%
PremiershipScotland
ST Johnstone
Nov 715:00
Dundee
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee Utd
Nov 715:00
Motherwell
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Nov 717:45
Hibernian
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
PremiershipScotland
ST Mirren
Nov 720:00
Rangers
Early projection
14.1724%
X5.0020%
21.7956%
PremiershipScotland
Heart Of Midlothian
Nov 815:00
Falkirk
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Nov 816:00
Kilmarnock
Early projection
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Nov 2115:00
ST Mirren
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Nov 2115:00
Dundee Utd
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Nov 2115:00
Aberdeen
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Nov 2115:00
ST Johnstone
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee
Nov 2117:45
Heart Of Midlothian
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Nov 2120:00
Rangers
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%

Betting Tips

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