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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Houston Dynamo vs Austin

Houston Dynamo vs Austin

Result • MLS·Houston Dynamo·Austin

MLS
MLS
Jul 26, 2026
00:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.68
X3.90
24.60
Stadium
Shell Energy Stadium
high Confidence
Austin

Austin

Away
Odds
11.68
X3.90
24.60
Stadium
Shell Energy Stadium
Win Probabilities
58%
Houston Dynamo
28%
Draw
14%
Austin
Home1.6858%
Draw3.9028%
Away4.6014%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Houston Dynamo are predicted to win with 62% probability, driven by their strong home record and Austin's poor form (4 losses in last 5). The main risk is Austin's recent win and a historically even head-to-head.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Houston Dynamo and Austin using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Houston Dynamo a 58% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Austin a 14% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Goal: M. BoguszAssist: E. Ponce
    12'
    Goal: M. BoguszHouston Dynamo · Assist: E. Ponce
  2. 18'
    Yellow Card: I. SanchezAustin
    Yellow Card: I. Sanchez
  3. Goal: M. BoguszAssist: Guilherme
    29'
    Goal: M. BoguszHouston Dynamo · Assist: Guilherme
  4. Goal: GuilhermeAssist: A. Bouzat
    32'
    Goal: GuilhermeHouston Dynamo · Assist: A. Bouzat
  5. Yellow Card: Felipe Andrade
    42'
    Yellow Card: Felipe AndradeHouston Dynamo
  6. 60'
    Substitution: B. SabovicAustin · Out: I. Sanchez
    Substitution: B. SabovicOut: I. Sanchez
  7. 60'
    Substitution: J. RosalesAustin · Out: P. Placheta
    Substitution: J. RosalesOut: P. Placheta
  8. 62'
    Yellow Card: B. SabovicAustin
    Yellow Card: B. Sabovic
  9. Yellow Card: Lucas Halter
    62'
    Yellow Card: Lucas HalterHouston Dynamo
  10. Substitution: ArturOut: D. Samassekou
    63'
    Substitution: ArturHouston Dynamo · Out: D. Samassekou
  11. Substitution: J. McGlynnOut: A. Bouzat
    70'
    Substitution: J. McGlynnHouston Dynamo · Out: A. Bouzat
  12. Substitution: D. McGuireOut: E. Ponce
    70'
    Substitution: D. McGuireHouston Dynamo · Out: E. Ponce
  13. 70'
    Substitution: M. DjordjevicAustin · Out: O. Svatok
    Substitution: M. DjordjevicOut: O. Svatok
  14. 71'
    Substitution: E. TorresAustin · Out: F. Torres
    Substitution: E. TorresOut: F. Torres
  15. 82'
    Substitution: Z. KolmanicAustin · Out: J. Gallagher
    Substitution: Z. KolmanicOut: J. Gallagher
  16. Substitution: O. LingrOut: Guilherme
    84'
    Substitution: O. LingrHouston Dynamo · Out: Guilherme
  17. Substitution: E. SviatchenkoOut: Lucas Halter
    85'
    Substitution: E. SviatchenkoHouston Dynamo · Out: Lucas Halter
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Guilherme (HOU) vs Austin's defense: The Brazilian playmaker will be the main threat, testing a fragile backline.
2Houston's midfield vs Austin's midfield: Control in the middle will be crucial; Houston's midfield has been more consistent.
3Houston's defense vs Austin's attack: With Austin failing to score in 3 of last 5, Houston's backline should hold firm.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Houston Dynamo

  • Strong home form (5W-0D-2L)
  • Recent unbeaten streak (4 matches)
  • Multiple suspensions (4 players out)
  • Inconsistent scoring (1.4 goals per game)

Austin

  • Recent win in last match (1-0 vs. ???)
  • H2H record shows they can beat Houston (5 wins in last 10)
  • Poor form (4 losses in last 5)
  • Weak defense (conceding 2.2 goals per game)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
58%
API-Football
45%
52%
Houston Dynamo513712

Moderate agreement on home win (52%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Houston Dynamo are clear favourites to beat Austin at Shell Energy Stadium, backed by strong form, home advantage, and a significant gap in the standings.

Form Analysis: Houston are unbeaten in four matches (DWLWW) with a 50% win rate, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Austin have lost four of their last five (LLLDW), scoring just 1.0 per game while conceding 2.2. The Dynamo also have a strong home record (5W-0D-2L), while Austin have struggled on the road.

Key Factors: Houston's momentum and defensive solidity (2 clean sheets in last 5) contrast with Austin's poor form and failure to score in 3 of their last 5. The head-to-head is evenly balanced (4-1-5 in last 10), but current form heavily favours the hosts. Both teams have multiple suspensions, but Houston's depth appears stronger.

Conclusion: All data points to a home win. Houston's superior form, home advantage, and Austin's struggles make the Dynamo the clear pick.

Statistical ContextHouston Dynamo

Double chance : Houston Dynamo or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Houston DynamoAustin
61%Strength38%
58%Attacking Potential42%
71%Defensive Potential29%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
46%Goals H2H54%
61%Wins the Game38%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Houston DynamoInjuries · AustinLive scores →

Statistical Context

Houston Dynamo

DDDLD
  • DOct 18, 26H · FC Dallas2-2
  • DOct 15, 26A · San Diego3-3
  • DOct 11, 26A · Minnesota United FC2-2
  • LSep 27, 26H · Sporting Kansas City0-2
  • DSep 20, 26H · FC Cincinnati2-2

Austin

LLLDD
  • LOct 18, 26H · Vancouver Whitecaps1-2
  • LOct 15, 26A · Los Angeles FC3-1
  • LOct 11, 26H · Nashville SC1-4
  • DSep 27, 26H · San Diego3-3
  • DSep 20, 26A · FC Dallas0-0

Head to Head

4
Houston Dynamo
1
Draws
5
Austin
  • Apr 26, 26Austin – Houston Dynamo2-0
  • Aug 10, 25Austin – Houston Dynamo2-2
  • May 22, 25Austin – Houston Dynamo3-1
  • Apr 27, 25Houston Dynamo – Austin2-0
  • Sep 22, 24Austin – Houston Dynamo0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Houston DynamoAustin
Played2830
Goals Scored3638
Goals Conceded3456
Avg Scored1.31.3
Avg Conceded1.21.9
Clean Sheets115

Houston Dynamo vs Austin — Match Analysis

Houston Dynamo are predicted to win with 62% probability, driven by their strong home record and Austin's poor form (4 losses in last 5). The main risk is Austin's recent win and a historically even head-to-head.

Houston Dynamo are clear favourites to beat Austin at Shell Energy Stadium, backed by strong form, home advantage, and a significant gap in the standings.

Form Analysis: Houston are unbeaten in four matches (DWLWW) with a 50% win rate, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Austin have lost four of their last five (LLLDW), scoring just 1.0 per game while conceding 2.2. The Dynamo also have a strong home record (5W-0D-2L), while Austin have struggled on the road.

Key Factors: Houston's momentum and defensive solidity (2 clean sheets in last 5) contrast with Austin's poor form and failure to score in 3 of their last 5. The head-to-head is evenly balanced (4-1-5 in last 10), but current form heavily favours the hosts. Both teams have multiple suspensions, but Houston's depth appears stronger.

Conclusion: All data points to a home win. Houston's superior form, home advantage, and Austin's struggles make the Dynamo the clear pick.

Win Probabilities: Houston Dynamo: 58% · Draw: 28% · Austin: 14%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Houston Dynamo wins: 4 · Draws: 1 · Austin wins: 5

Form (latest first): Houston Dynamo: DDDLD · Austin: LLLDD

  • Guilherme (HOU) vs Austin's defense: The Brazilian playmaker will be the main threat, testing a fragile backline.
  • Houston's midfield vs Austin's midfield: Control in the middle will be crucial; Houston's midfield has been more consistent.
  • Houston's defense vs Austin's attack: With Austin failing to score in 3 of last 5, Houston's backline should hold firm.

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MLS

MLS

USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
CF Montreal
Oct 2417:30
Nashville SC
15.2619%
X3.5728%
21.8953%
MLSUSA
Columbus Crew
Oct 2419:30
Toronto FC
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
MLSUSA
New York Red Bulls
Oct 2421:30
Inter Miami
14.1724%
X3.5728%
22.0848%
MLSUSA
Orlando City SC
Oct 2423:30
New York City FC
12.5040%
X4.0025%
22.8635%
MLSUSA
Philadelphia Union
Oct 2423:30
New England Revolution
11.6760%
X4.0025%
26.6715%
MLSUSA
Atlanta United FC
Oct 2423:30
Chicago Fire
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
MLSUSA
DC United
Oct 2423:30
FC Cincinnati
12.9434%
X3.5728%
22.6338%
MLSUSA
FC Dallas
Oct 2500:30
San Jose Earthquakes
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
Houston Dynamo
Oct 2500:30
Minnesota United FC
11.9651%
X4.1724%
24.0025%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Oct 2500:30
Austin
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Oct 2502:30
St. Louis City
12.8635%
X4.0025%
22.5040%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Oct 2502:30
Vancouver Whitecaps
14.1724%
X3.3330%
22.1746%
MLSUSA
Portland Timbers
Oct 2502:30
Charlotte
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
MLSUSA
San Diego
Oct 2502:30
Seattle Sounders
12.4441%
X4.0025%
22.9434%
MLSUSA
Los Angeles FC
Oct 2601:00
Los Angeles Galaxy
11.6162%
X4.1724%
27.1414%

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