Bundesliga · 2026/27
Bundesliga Matchday 4 predictions
9 fixtures from September 18 to September 20. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, September 20 · 13:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 18
1X2
Saturday, September 19
1X2
Bundesliga Matchday 4 runs from September 18 to September 20 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Bayern München - Union Berlin: Bayern München to win at 86%. The tightest match is Werder Bremen - FC Augsburg, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Bayern München 7–0 Union Berlin, September 18: the model's pick was Bayern München to win (86%) and it came in.
- Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg, September 19: the model's pick was Werder Bremen to win (40%) and it came in.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05, September 19: the model's pick was FSV Mainz 05 to win (43%) and it came in.
- Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 SC Freiburg, September 19: the model's pick was Eintracht Frankfurt to win (40%) and it missed.
- Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Köln, September 19: the model's pick was 1. FC Köln to win (41%) and it missed.
- VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund, September 19: the model's pick was VfB Stuttgart to win (40%) and it missed.
- Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig, September 20: the model's pick was Bayer Leverkusen to win (50%) and it came in.
- FC Schalke 04 0–0 SV Elversberg, September 20: the model's pick was FC Schalke 04 to win (49%) and it missed.
- SC Paderborn 07 3–1 1899 Hoffenheim, September 20: the model's pick was 1899 Hoffenheim to win (53%) and it missed.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is Bundesliga Matchday 4 played?
From September 18 to September 20. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
Bayern München - Union Berlin: Bayern München to win at 86% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.