Bundesliga · 2026/27

Bundesliga Matchday 4 predictions

9 fixtures from September 18 to September 20. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Bundesliga Matchday 4 runs from September 18 to September 20 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Bayern München - Union Berlin: Bayern München to win at 85%. The tightest match is FC Schalke 04 - SV Elversberg, where no outcome clears 36%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Matchday 4 FAQ

When is Bundesliga Matchday 4 played?

From September 18 to September 20. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?

Bayern München - Union Berlin: Bayern München to win at 85% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.