Bundesliga · 2026/27
Bundesliga Matchday 3 predictions
9 fixtures from September 11 to September 13. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, September 13 · 15:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 11
1X2
Saturday, September 12
1X2- 5–0
SC Freiburg#3
Borussia Mönchengladbach#1853%28%19%✓ Hit - 1–3
FSV Mainz 05#9
Eintracht Frankfurt#850%29%21%✗ Miss - 3–0
Borussia Dortmund#2
SC Paderborn 07#1477%16%7%✓ Hit - 2–1
1899 Hoffenheim#12
VfB Stuttgart#1140%25%35%✓ Hit - 2–2
FC Augsburg#10
Bayer Leverkusen#630%29%41%✗ Miss - 1–1
1. FC Köln#13
Werder Bremen#542%28%30%✗ Miss
Sunday, September 13
1X2
Bundesliga Matchday 3 runs from September 11 to September 13 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is SV Elversberg - Bayern München: Bayern München to win at 78%. The tightest match is 1899 Hoffenheim - VfB Stuttgart, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Union Berlin 1–3 FC Schalke 04, September 11: the model's pick was Union Berlin to win (43%) and it missed.
- SC Freiburg 5–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach, September 12: the model's pick was SC Freiburg to win (53%) and it came in.
- FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt, September 12: the model's pick was FSV Mainz 05 to win (50%) and it missed.
- Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SC Paderborn 07, September 12: the model's pick was Borussia Dortmund to win (77%) and it came in.
- 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 VfB Stuttgart, September 12: the model's pick was 1899 Hoffenheim to win (40%) and it came in.
- FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen, September 12: the model's pick was Bayer Leverkusen to win (41%) and it missed.
- 1. FC Köln 1–1 Werder Bremen, September 12: the model's pick was 1. FC Köln to win (42%) and it missed.
- RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburger SV, September 13: the model's pick was RB Leipzig to win (67%) and it came in.
- SV Elversberg 1–2 Bayern München, September 13: the model's pick was Bayern München to win (78%) and it came in.
Matchday 3 FAQ
When is Bundesliga Matchday 3 played?
From September 11 to September 13. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?
SV Elversberg - Bayern München: Bayern München to win at 78% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.