Bundesliga · 2026/27
Bundesliga Matchday 1 predictions
9 fixtures from August 28 to August 30. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, August 30 · 13:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, August 28
1X2
Saturday, August 29
1X2- 0–0
FSV Mainz 05#9
SC Paderborn 07#1452%28%20%✗ Miss - 3–0
RB Leipzig#4
Borussia Mönchengladbach#1861%24%15%✓ Hit - 3–3
Union Berlin#16
Eintracht Frankfurt#839%25%36%✗ Miss - 3–2
1. FC Köln#13
1899 Hoffenheim#1233%26%41%✗ Miss - 3–2
SV Elversberg#7
Bayer Leverkusen#614%23%63%✗ Miss - 2–0
Borussia Dortmund#2
Hamburger SV#1570%21%9%✓ Hit
Bundesliga Matchday 1 runs from August 28 to August 30 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart: Bayern München to win at 77%. The tightest match is Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart, August 28: the model's pick was Bayern München to win (77%) and it came in.
- FSV Mainz 05 0–0 SC Paderborn 07, August 29: the model's pick was FSV Mainz 05 to win (52%) and it missed.
- RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach, August 29: the model's pick was RB Leipzig to win (61%) and it came in.
- Union Berlin 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt, August 29: the model's pick was Union Berlin to win (39%) and it missed.
- 1. FC Köln 3–2 1899 Hoffenheim, August 29: the model's pick was 1899 Hoffenheim to win (41%) and it missed.
- SV Elversberg 3–2 Bayer Leverkusen, August 29: the model's pick was Bayer Leverkusen to win (63%) and it missed.
- Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hamburger SV, August 29: the model's pick was Borussia Dortmund to win (70%) and it came in.
- SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen, August 30: the model's pick was SC Freiburg to win (49%) and it came in.
- FC Augsburg 3–0 FC Schalke 04, August 30: the model's pick was FC Augsburg to win (41%) and it came in.
Matchday 1 FAQ
When is Bundesliga Matchday 1 played?
From August 28 to August 30. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?
Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart: Bayern München to win at 77% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.