Bundesliga · 2026/27

Bundesliga Matchday 1 predictions

9 fixtures from August 28 to August 30. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Saturday, August 29 · 13:30

SV Elversberg#4

3–2

Bayer Leverkusen#6
1 · 14%X · 23%2 · 63%
Bayer Leverkusen to win · 63%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, August 28

  1. 5–1
    Bayern München#5
    VfB Stuttgart#14
    77%15%8%

Saturday, August 29

  1. 0–0
    FSV Mainz 05#7
    SC Paderborn 07#15
    52%28%20%
  2. 3–0
    RB Leipzig#12
    Borussia Mönchengladbach#18
    61%24%15%
  3. 3–3
    Union Berlin#16
    Eintracht Frankfurt#8
    39%25%36%
  4. 3–2
    1. FC Köln#11
    1899 Hoffenheim#13
    33%26%41%
  5. 3–2
    SV Elversberg#4
    Bayer Leverkusen#6
    14%23%63%
  6. 2–0
    Borussia Dortmund#2
    Hamburger SV#17
    70%21%9%

Sunday, August 30

  1. 4–1
    SC Freiburg#1
    Werder Bremen#9
    49%30%21%
  2. 3–0
    FC Augsburg#3
    FC Schalke 04#10
    41%32%27%

Bundesliga Matchday 1 runs from August 28 to August 30 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart: Bayern München to win at 77%. The tightest match is Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Bundesliga predictions →Bundesliga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 1 FAQ

When is Bundesliga Matchday 1 played?

From August 28 to August 30. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?

Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart: Bayern München to win at 77% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.