Eerste Divisie · 2026/27
Eerste Divisie Matchday 11 predictions
10 fixtures from October 16 to October 19. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Friday, October 16 · 18:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 16
1X2
Saturday, October 17
1X2
Sunday, October 18
1X2
Eerste Divisie Matchday 11 runs from October 16 to October 19 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is MVV - Heracles: Heracles to win at 64%. The tightest match is Jong Ajax - De Graafschap, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- VVV Venlo 4–4 Jong AZ, October 16: the model's pick was VVV Venlo to win (51%) and it missed.
- Den Bosch 2–1 FC OSS, October 16: the model's pick was Den Bosch to win (57%) and it came in.
- FC Eindhoven 0–1 Vitesse, October 16: the model's pick was Vitesse to win (41%) and it came in.
- Helmond Sport 0–2 NAC Breda, October 16: the model's pick was NAC Breda to win (61%) and it came in.
- Emmen 2–1 Almere City FC, October 17: the model's pick was Emmen to win (42%) and it came in.
- Waalwijk 1–1 FC Volendam, October 18: the model's pick was Waalwijk to win (46%) and it missed.
- MVV 1–5 Heracles, October 18: the model's pick was Heracles to win (64%) and it came in.
- Jong PSV U21 0–1 Dordrecht, October 19: the model's pick was Jong PSV U21 to win (44%) and it missed.
- Jong Ajax 2–1 De Graafschap, October 19: the model's pick was De Graafschap to win (40%) and it missed.
- Jong Utrecht 1–2 Roda, October 19: the model's pick was Roda to win (45%) and it came in.
Matchday 11 FAQ
When is Eerste Divisie Matchday 11 played?
From October 16 to October 19. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?
MVV - Heracles: Heracles to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.