Liga 1 · 2026
Peru Liga 1 Matchday 11 predictions
9 fixtures from April 17 to April 20. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, April 18 · 22:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, April 17
1X2
Saturday, April 18
1X2
Sunday, April 19
1X2
Monday, April 20
1X2
Liga 1 Matchday 11 runs from April 17 to April 20 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Sporting Cristal - UTC Cajamarca: Sporting Cristal to win at 64%. The tightest match is FBC Melgar - Universitario, where no outcome clears 34%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–0 Atletico Grau, April 17: the model's pick was Club Deportivo Los Chankas to win (52%) and it came in.
- FC Cajamarca 2–2 ADT, April 18: the model's pick was FC Cajamarca to win (35%) and it missed.
- Juan Pablo II College 2–2 Comerciantes Unidos, April 18: the model's pick was Juan Pablo II College to win (39%) and it missed.
- Sport Huancayo 2–1 Deportivo Garcilaso, April 18: the model's pick was Sport Huancayo to win (49%) and it came in.
- Alianza Lima 8–0 Cusco, April 19: the model's pick was Alianza Lima to win (57%) and it came in.
- Sporting Cristal 3–2 UTC Cajamarca, April 19: the model's pick was Sporting Cristal to win (64%) and it came in.
- Alianza Atletico 0–1 Sport Boys, April 19: the model's pick was Alianza Atletico to win (51%) and it missed.
- FBC Melgar 2–1 Universitario, April 19: the model's pick was FBC Melgar to win (34%) and it came in.
- Cienciano 2–1 UCV Moquegua, April 20: the model's pick was Cienciano to win (63%) and it came in.
Matchday 11 FAQ
When is Liga 1 Matchday 11 played?
From April 17 to April 20. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?
Sporting Cristal - UTC Cajamarca: Sporting Cristal to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.