Liga 1 · 2026
Peru Liga 1 Matchday 15 predictions
9 fixtures from May 15 to May 17. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, May 16 · 20:15
Every fixture this round
Friday, May 15
1X2
Saturday, May 16
1X2
Liga 1 Matchday 15 runs from May 15 to May 17 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Universitario - Atletico Grau: Universitario to win at 61%. The tightest match is Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Atletico, where no outcome clears 35%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- FC Cajamarca 3–1 Sporting Cristal, May 15: the model's pick was FC Cajamarca to win (37%) and it came in.
- Universitario 0–1 Atletico Grau, May 16: the model's pick was Universitario to win (61%) and it missed.
- FBC Melgar 4–1 Sport Huancayo, May 16: the model's pick was FBC Melgar to win (56%) and it came in.
- Juan Pablo II College 0–2 Alianza Atletico, May 16: the model's pick was Juan Pablo II College to win (35%) and it missed.
- Cienciano 0–1 Alianza Lima, May 16: the model's pick was Cienciano to win (35%) and it missed.
- Sport Boys 1–0 Cusco, May 17: the model's pick was Sport Boys to win (42%) and it came in.
- ADT 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos, May 17: the model's pick was ADT to win (38%) and it came in.
- Deportivo Garcilaso 2–0 UTC Cajamarca, May 17: the model's pick was Deportivo Garcilaso to win (35%) and it came in.
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–0 UCV Moquegua, May 17: the model's pick was Club Deportivo Los Chankas to win (60%) and it came in.
Matchday 15 FAQ
When is Liga 1 Matchday 15 played?
From May 15 to May 17. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 15?
Universitario - Atletico Grau: Universitario to win at 61% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.