Liga 1 · 2026
Peru Liga 1 Matchday 13 predictions
9 fixtures from May 2 to May 4. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, May 3 · 18:15
Every fixture this round
Saturday, May 2
1X2Sunday, May 3
1X2Liga 1 Matchday 13 runs from May 2 to May 4 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Alianza Lima - UCV Moquegua: Alianza Lima to win at 72%. The tightest match is FC Cajamarca - Sport Boys, where no outcome clears 34%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- FC Cajamarca 3–2 Sport Boys, May 2: the model's pick was FC Cajamarca to win (34%) and it came in.
- ADT 1–0 Atletico Grau, May 2: the model's pick was ADT to win (54%) and it came in.
- Cienciano 1–0 Comerciantes Unidos, May 2: the model's pick was Cienciano to win (52%) and it came in.
- Alianza Lima 2–1 UCV Moquegua, May 3: the model's pick was Alianza Lima to win (72%) and it came in.
- Sporting Cristal 2–2 Cusco, May 3: the model's pick was Sporting Cristal to win (50%) and it missed.
- Juan Pablo II College 1–4 Universitario, May 3: the model's pick was Universitario to win (53%) and it came in.
- Alianza Atletico 4–1 Sport Huancayo, May 3: the model's pick was Alianza Atletico to win (45%) and it came in.
- FBC Melgar 2–0 UTC Cajamarca, May 3: the model's pick was FBC Melgar to win (40%) and it came in.
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–1 Deportivo Garcilaso, May 4: the model's pick was Club Deportivo Los Chankas to win (49%) and it missed.
Matchday 13 FAQ
When is Liga 1 Matchday 13 played?
From May 2 to May 4. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 13?
Alianza Lima - UCV Moquegua: Alianza Lima to win at 72% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.

















