Who Will Win Peru Liga 1?
2,000 season simulations · 306 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Liga 1 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Sport Huancayo wins Liga 1 in 39.6% of 2,000 season simulations.
Universitario — 28.5% title chance.
UTC Cajamarca goes down in 99.7% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sport Huancayo | 16 | 34 | 39.6% | 92.6% | <0.1% | 67 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 15 | 31 | 28.5% | 87.7% | <0.1% | 66 |
| 3 |  Sporting Cristal | 16 | 32 | 21.8% | 84.6% | <0.1% | 65 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 28 | 5% | 50.8% | <0.1% | 61 |
| 5 |  Alianza Lima | 15 | 28 | 3.4% | 38.9% | <0.1% | 60 |
| 6 |  FBC Melgar | 16 | 29 | 1.6% | 27.2% | <0.1% | 59 |
| 7 |  Alianza Atletico | 16 | 28 | 0.1% | 9.1% | <0.1% | 56 |
| 8 |  Sport Boys | 15 | 25 | 0.1% | 7.1% | <0.1% | 55 |
| 9 |  Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 25 | <0.1% | 1.9% | <0.1% | 53 |
| 10 |  Cusco | 16 | 24 | <0.1% | 0.3% | <0.1% | 50 |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 16 | 21 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 45 |
| 12 |  Cienciano | 16 | 17 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 2.1% | 38 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 3.9% | 37 |
| 14 |  FC Cajamarca | 16 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 28.8% | 32 |
| 15 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 13 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 35.9% | 31 |
| 16 |  ADT | 16 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 62.6% | 29 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 15 | 11 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 67.2% | 29 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 99.7% | 19 |
Next Liga 1 fixtures — with AI predictions
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas – Alianza LimaSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Sport Boys – UTC CajamarcaSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Deportivo Garcilaso – Comerciantes UnidosSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Universitario – UCV MoqueguaMon, Nov 9AI prediction
- UTC Cajamarca – Club Deportivo Los ChankasSat, Nov 14AI prediction
- Sporting Cristal – CiencianoSat, Nov 14AI prediction
- Alianza Lima – FC CajamarcaSat, Nov 14AI prediction
- Sport Huancayo – UniversitarioSat, Nov 14AI prediction
Methodology
Every remaining Liga 1 fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Liga 1 in 2026?
Sport Huancayo wins Liga 1 in 39.6% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.