Ekstraklasa · 2026/27
Ekstraklasa Matchday 12 predictions
9 fixtures from October 23 to October 25. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, October 25 · 16:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 23
1X2Saturday, October 24
1X2Ekstraklasa Matchday 12 runs from October 23 to October 25 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Pogon Szczecin - Radomiak Radom: Pogon Szczecin to win at 55%. The tightest match is Legia Warszawa - Lech Poznan, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Motor Lublin 2–2 Zaglebie Lubin, October 23: the model's pick was Motor Lublin to win (49%) and it missed.
- Widzew Łódź 1–1 Gornik Zabrze, October 23: the model's pick was Gornik Zabrze to win (44%) and it missed.
- Piast Gliwice 3–1 Cracovia Krakow, October 24: the model's pick was Piast Gliwice to win (40%) and it came in.
- Korona Kielce 1–0 GKS Katowice, October 24: the model's pick was Korona Kielce to win (40%) and it came in.
- Pogon Szczecin 4–3 Radomiak Radom, October 24: the model's pick was Pogon Szczecin to win (55%) and it came in.
- Wisla Krakow 2–1 Raków Częstochowa, October 24: the model's pick was Wisla Krakow to win (47%) and it came in.
- Slask Wroclaw 2–0 Wieczysta Kraków, October 25: the model's pick was Wieczysta Kraków to win (43%) and it missed.
- Jagiellonia 1–0 Wisla Plock, October 25: the model's pick was Jagiellonia to win (43%) and it came in.
- Legia Warszawa 1–2 Lech Poznan, October 25: the model's pick was Lech Poznan to win (39%) and it came in.
Matchday 12 FAQ
When is Ekstraklasa Matchday 12 played?
From October 23 to October 25. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 12?
Pogon Szczecin - Radomiak Radom: Pogon Szczecin to win at 55% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.

















