Who Will Win Ekstraklasa?
2,000 season simulations · 34 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Ekstraklasa 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Legia Warszawa wins Ekstraklasa in 42.8% of 2,000 season simulations.
Jagiellonia — 39.5% title chance.
Wieczysta Kraków goes down in 80.1% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Legia Warszawa | 2 | 6 | 42.8% | 86.8% | <0.1% | 13 |
| 2 |  Jagiellonia | 2 | 6 | 39.5% | 89.4% | <0.1% | 13 |
| 3 |  Lech Poznan | 2 | 4 | 5.4% | 41.4% | 0.3% | 10 |
| 4 |  Wisla Plock | 2 | 4 | 3.8% | 42.9% | 0.5% | 10 |
| 5 |  Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 3 | 2.4% | 35.1% | 1.4% | 9 |
| 6 |  Wisla Krakow | 2 | 3 | 1.6% | 23.1% | 2.9% | 9 |
| 7 |  Slask Wroclaw | 2 | 3 | 1.3% | 16.5% | 2.6% | 8 |
| 8 |  Radomiak Radom | 2 | 3 | 1.3% | 15.5% | 3.8% | 8 |
| 9 |  Piast Gliwice | 2 | 3 | 1% | 16.4% | 2.9% | 8 |
| 10 |  Widzew Łódź | 2 | 2 | 0.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7 |
| 11 |  Cracovia Krakow | 1 | 1 | 0.2% | 4.7% | 12.5% | 7 |
| 12 |  Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0.2% | 3.4% | 21.9% | 6 |
| 13 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 2 | 3 | 0.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 8 |
| 14 |  GKS Katowice | 2 | 3 | 0.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7 |
| 15 |  Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.9% | 38% | 5 |
| 16 |  Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | <0.1% | 1.2% | 41.1% | 5 |
| 17 |  Raków Częstochowa | 2 | 0 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 72.4% | 3 |
| 18 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 2 | 0 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 80.1% | 3 |
Next Ekstraklasa fixtures — with AI predictions
- Wisla Krakow – Wisla PlockFri, Aug 7AI prediction →
- Radomiak Radom – Gornik ZabrzeSat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- Pogon Szczecin – Motor LublinSat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- Korona Kielce – Legia WarszawaSat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- Slask Wroclaw – Cracovia KrakowSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Lech Poznan – Piast GliwiceSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Jagiellonia – Widzew ŁódźSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Legia Warszawa – Radomiak RadomFri, Aug 14AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Ekstraklasa fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Ekstraklasa in 2026/27?
Legia Warszawa wins Ekstraklasa in 42.8% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.