Who Will Win Ekstraklasa?
2,000 season simulations · 306 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Ekstraklasa 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Gornik Zabrze wins Ekstraklasa in 79.2% of 2,000 season simulations.
Lech Poznan — 15.5% title chance.
Raków Częstochowa goes down in 90.2% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gornik Zabrze | 8 | 21 | 79.2% | 99.6% | <0.1% | 77 |
| 2 |  Lech Poznan | 7 | 16 | 15.5% | 92.6% | <0.1% | 69 |
| 3 |  Legia Warszawa | 8 | 16 | 4.1% | 71.7% | <0.1% | 64 |
| 4 |  Wisla Krakow | 9 | 17 | 0.6% | 47% | <0.1% | 60 |
| 5 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 8 | 15 | 0.5% | 37.9% | <0.1% | 59 |
| 6 |  Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 12 | 0.2% | 22.7% | <0.1% | 56 |
| 7 |  Jagiellonia | 7 | 12 | 0.1% | 13.6% | <0.1% | 55 |
| 8 |  Piast Gliwice | 8 | 13 | 0.1% | 10.5% | <0.1% | 53 |
| 9 |  Korona Kielce | 8 | 12 | <0.1% | 4% | <0.1% | 50 |
| 10 |  GKS Katowice | 7 | 9 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 46 |
| 11 |  Wisla Plock | 7 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 5.5% | 40 |
| 12 |  Widzew Łódź | 9 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 5.8% | 39 |
| 13 |  Cracovia Krakow | 8 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 9.9% | 37 |
| 14 |  Radomiak Radom | 8 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 17.1% | 35 |
| 15 |  Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 48.4% | 30 |
| 16 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 8 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 61.4% | 29 |
| 17 |  Motor Lublin | 8 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 61.1% | 29 |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa | 8 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 90.2% | 23 |
Next Ekstraklasa fixtures — with AI predictions
- Piast Gliwice – Pogon SzczecinSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Zaglebie Lubin – Wisla PlockSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Jagiellonia – Legia WarszawaSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Lech Poznan – Radomiak RadomSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Wieczysta Kraków – Wisla PlockFri, Oct 9AI prediction →
- Raków Częstochowa – GKS KatowiceFri, Oct 9AI prediction →
- Cracovia Krakow – Zaglebie LubinSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
- Slask Wroclaw – Lech PoznanSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Ekstraklasa fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Ekstraklasa in 2026/27?
Gornik Zabrze wins Ekstraklasa in 79.2% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.