Who Will Win Ekstraklasa?
2,000 season simulations · 306 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Ekstraklasa 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Lech Poznan wins Ekstraklasa in 96.7% of 2,000 season simulations.
Gornik Zabrze — 2.4% title chance.
Wieczysta Kraków goes down in 80% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lech Poznan | 12 | 31 | 96.7% | 100% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 2 |  Gornik Zabrze | 13 | 28 | 2.4% | 96.8% | <0.1% | 68 |
| 3 |  Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 24 | 0.9% | 81.5% | <0.1% | 63 |
| 4 |  Legia Warszawa | 13 | 24 | 0.1% | 63.3% | <0.1% | 61 |
| 5 |  Wisla Krakow | 14 | 24 | <0.1% | 19.4% | <0.1% | 56 |
| 6 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 13 | 22 | <0.1% | 15.6% | <0.1% | 55 |
| 7 |  GKS Katowice | 13 | 21 | <0.1% | 11% | <0.1% | 54 |
| 8 |  Piast Gliwice | 13 | 21 | <0.1% | 9.9% | <0.1% | 53 |
| 9 |  Jagiellonia | 12 | 18 | <0.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 49 |
| 10 |  Motor Lublin | 14 | 19 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 46 |
| 11 |  Korona Kielce | 13 | 18 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 46 |
| 12 |  Wisla Plock | 13 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 2% | 40 |
| 13 |  Widzew Łódź | 13 | 11 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 22.3% | 34 |
| 14 |  Cracovia Krakow | 14 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 25.1% | 33 |
| 15 |  Radomiak Radom | 13 | 11 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 39.9% | 32 |
| 16 |  Slask Wroclaw | 13 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 64.4% | 29 |
| 17 |  Raków Częstochowa | 13 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 66.3% | 29 |
| 18 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 13 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 80% | 27 |
Next Ekstraklasa fixtures — with AI predictions
- Korona Kielce – Radomiak RadomSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Slask Wroclaw – Piast GliwiceSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Gornik Zabrze – Wieczysta KrakówSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Widzew Łódź – Pogon SzczecinSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Jagiellonia – GKS KatowiceSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Legia Warszawa – Raków CzęstochowaSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Lech Poznan – Zaglebie LubinSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Piast Gliwice – Korona KielceFri, Nov 20AI prediction
Methodology
Every remaining Ekstraklasa fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Ekstraklasa in 2026/27?
Lech Poznan wins Ekstraklasa in 96.7% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.