Ekstraklasa · 2026/27

Ekstraklasa Matchday 5 predictions

9 fixtures from August 21 to September 3. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Thursday, September 3 · 18:30

Lech Poznan#1

2–1

Jagiellonia#4
1 · 59%X · 23%2 · 18%
Lech Poznan to win · 59%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, August 21

  1. 3–2
    Cracovia Krakow#11
    Wieczysta Kraków#17
    42%29%29%

Saturday, August 22

  1. 1–1
    Korona Kielce#9
    Motor Lublin#15
    50%27%23%
  2. 1–1
    Piast Gliwice#6
    Legia Warszawa#2
    25%30%45%
  3. 3–3
    Slask Wroclaw#14
    Widzew Łódź#13
    32%29%39%

Sunday, August 23

  1. 0–0
    Radomiak Radom#12
    Zaglebie Lubin#10
    39%28%33%
  2. 5–0
    GKS Katowice#7
    Wisla Plock#16
    50%27%23%
  3. 2–2
    Pogon Szczecin#8
    Wisla Krakow#5
    40%28%32%

Thursday, September 3

  1. 1–2
    Raków Częstochowa#18
    Gornik Zabrze#3
    39%28%33%
  2. 2–1
    Lech Poznan#1
    Jagiellonia#4
    59%23%18%

Ekstraklasa Matchday 5 runs from August 21 to September 3 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Lech Poznan - Jagiellonia: Lech Poznan to win at 59%. The tightest match is Slask Wroclaw - Widzew Łódź, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Ekstraklasa predictions →Ekstraklasa table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 5 FAQ

When is Ekstraklasa Matchday 5 played?

From August 21 to September 3. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?

Lech Poznan - Jagiellonia: Lech Poznan to win at 59% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.