Ekstraklasa · 2026/27

Ekstraklasa Matchday 4 predictions

9 fixtures from August 14 to August 16. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Sunday, August 16 · 18:15

Gornik Zabrze#1

2–1

Wisla Krakow#5
1 · 46%X · 27%2 · 27%
Gornik Zabrze to win · 46%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, August 14

  1. 5–0
    Legia Warszawa#2
    Radomiak Radom#14
    64%22%14%

Saturday, August 15

  1. 2–1
    Zaglebie Lubin#4
    Slask Wroclaw#15
    41%33%26%
  2. 3–4
    Piast Gliwice#6
    Wieczysta Kraków#17
    47%29%24%
  3. 1–2
    Widzew Łódź#11
    Korona Kielce#9
    50%29%21%

Sunday, August 16

  1. 1–0
    Motor Lublin#16
    GKS Katowice#10
    33%27%40%
  2. 15:30
    Jagiellonia#8
    Pogon Szczecin#7
    60%19%21%
  3. 2–1
    Cracovia Krakow#12
    Raków Częstochowa#18
    39%29%32%
  4. 18:15
    Wisla Plock#13
    Lech Poznan#3
    38%27%35%
  5. 2–1
    Gornik Zabrze#1
    Wisla Krakow#5
    46%27%27%

Ekstraklasa Matchday 4 runs from August 14 to August 16 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Jagiellonia - Pogon Szczecin: Jagiellonia to win at 60%. The tightest match is Wisla Plock - Lech Poznan, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All Ekstraklasa predictions →Ekstraklasa table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 4 FAQ

When is Ekstraklasa Matchday 4 played?

From August 14 to August 16. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?

Jagiellonia - Pogon Szczecin: Jagiellonia to win at 60% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.