Liga 3 · 2026/27
Liga 3 Matchday 12 predictions
10 fixtures from December 12 to December 13. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, December 12 · 15:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, December 12
1X2Sunday, December 13
1X2- 11:00
Varzim#6
Pacos Ferreira#846%24%30%Correct score - 15:00
Guimaraes B#5
Fafe#443%25%32%Correct score - 15:00
Vianense#7
AD Marco 09#335%28%37%Correct score - 15:00
Vitória de Sernache#8
Oliveirense#329%24%47%Correct score - 15:00
Atlético CP#2
SC Covilha#980%12%8%Correct score - 17:00
Mafra#5
Lusitano Évora 1911#1062%19%19%Correct score
Liga 3 Matchday 12 runs from December 12 to December 13 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Atlético CP - SC Covilha: Atlético CP to win at 80%. The tightest match is Vianense - AD Marco 09, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Louletano vs Caldas, December 12: the model's pick is Louletano to win (45%).
- São João Ver vs Trofense, December 12: the model's pick is São João Ver to win (62%).
- Leça vs Paredes, December 12: the model's pick is Paredes to win (53%).
- União Santarém vs CF Os Belenenses, December 12: the model's pick is CF Os Belenenses to win (53%).
- Varzim vs Pacos Ferreira, December 13: the model's pick is Varzim to win (46%).
- Guimaraes B vs Fafe, December 13: the model's pick is Guimaraes B to win (43%).
- Vianense vs AD Marco 09, December 13: the model's pick is AD Marco 09 to win (37%).
- Vitória de Sernache vs Oliveirense, December 13: the model's pick is Oliveirense to win (47%).
- Atlético CP vs SC Covilha, December 13: the model's pick is Atlético CP to win (80%).
- Mafra vs Lusitano Évora 1911, December 13: the model's pick is Mafra to win (62%).
Matchday 12 FAQ
When is Liga 3 Matchday 12 played?
From December 12 to December 13. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 12?
Atlético CP - SC Covilha: Atlético CP to win at 80% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.







