Primeira Liga · 2026/27
Primeira Liga Matchday 5 predictions
9 fixtures from September 4 to September 7. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, September 5 · 17:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 4
1X2
Saturday, September 5
1X2
Sunday, September 6
1X2
Monday, September 7
1X2
Primeira Liga Matchday 5 runs from September 4 to September 7 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is FC Porto - Moreirense: FC Porto to win at 83%. The tightest match is Estoril - Arouca, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- FC Porto 2–1 Moreirense, September 4: the model's pick was FC Porto to win (83%) and it came in.
- Estrela 2–2 Famalicao, September 5: the model's pick was Famalicao to win (40%) and it missed.
- Maritimo 0–3 Benfica, September 5: the model's pick was Benfica to win (75%) and it came in.
- Alverca 1–2 SC Braga, September 5: the model's pick was SC Braga to win (51%) and it came in.
- Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional, September 5: the model's pick was Sporting CP to win (82%) and it came in.
- Santa Clara 4–0 Rio Ave, September 6: the model's pick was Santa Clara to win (49%) and it came in.
- Vitória SC 0–0 Casa Pia, September 6: the model's pick was Vitória SC to win (56%) and it missed.
- GIL Vicente 0–1 Academico Viseu, September 6: the model's pick was GIL Vicente to win (53%) and it missed.
- Estoril 0–0 Arouca, September 7: the model's pick was Estoril to win (39%) and it missed.
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is Primeira Liga Matchday 5 played?
From September 4 to September 7. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
FC Porto - Moreirense: FC Porto to win at 83% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.