Primeira Liga · 2026/27
Primeira Liga Matchday 1 predictions
9 fixtures from August 7 to August 10. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, August 8 · 19:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, August 7
1X2
Saturday, August 8
1X2
Sunday, August 9
1X2
Monday, August 10
1X2
Primeira Liga Matchday 1 runs from August 7 to August 10 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Benfica - Academico Viseu: Benfica to win at 84%. The tightest match is Estoril - Famalicao, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Estoril 1–1 Famalicao, August 7: the model's pick was Famalicao to win (39%) and it missed.
- Estrela 2–2 Sporting CP, August 8: the model's pick was Sporting CP to win (69%) and it missed.
- FC Porto 2–0 Alverca, August 9: the model's pick was FC Porto to win (79%) and it came in.
- Benfica 2–2 Academico Viseu, August 9: the model's pick was Benfica to win (84%) and it missed.
- Moreirense 2–2 SC Braga, August 9: the model's pick was SC Braga to win (55%) and it missed.
- GIL Vicente 1–0 Rio Ave, August 9: the model's pick was GIL Vicente to win (49%) and it came in.
- Santa Clara 2–2 Nacional, August 10: the model's pick was Santa Clara to win (45%) and it missed.
Matchday 1 FAQ
When is Primeira Liga Matchday 1 played?
From August 7 to August 10. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?
Benfica - Academico Viseu: Benfica to win at 84% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.