Primeira Liga · 2026/27

Primeira Liga Matchday 3 predictions

9 fixtures from August 22 to September 10. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Sunday, August 23 · 19:30

FC Porto#1

2–0

Arouca#5
1 · 81%X · 15%2 · 4%
FC Porto to win · 81%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Saturday, August 22

  1. 2–2
    Maritimo#10
    Academico Viseu#8
    47%31%22%
  2. 0–2
    Estoril#17
    Rio Ave#16
    49%30%21%
  3. 3–1
    Sporting CP#3
    Alverca#12
    82%14%4%

Sunday, August 23

  1. 1–0
    Vitória SC#14
    Nacional#15
    44%30%26%
  2. 1–0
    Santa Clara#4
    Famalicao#13
    42%32%26%
  3. 2–0
    FC Porto#1
    Arouca#5
    81%15%4%

Monday, August 24

  1. 2–0
    GIL Vicente#9
    Casa Pia#18
    55%30%15%

Wednesday, September 9

  1. 0–4
    Moreirense#11
    Benfica#2
    4%14%82%

Thursday, September 10

  1. 2–1
    Estrela#6
    SC Braga#7
    15%28%57%

Primeira Liga Matchday 3 runs from August 22 to September 10 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Sporting CP - Alverca: Sporting CP to win at 82%. The tightest match is Santa Clara - Famalicao, where no outcome clears 42%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Primeira Liga predictions →Primeira Liga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 3 FAQ

When is Primeira Liga Matchday 3 played?

From August 22 to September 10. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?

Sporting CP - Alverca: Sporting CP to win at 82% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.