Segunda División · 2026/27
Segunda División Matchday 1 predictions
11 fixtures from August 14 to August 17. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, August 16 · 15:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, August 14
1X2
Saturday, August 15
1X2
Sunday, August 16
1X2
Segunda División Matchday 1 runs from August 14 to August 17 with 11 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Almeria - Eldense: Almeria to win at 64%. The tightest match is Burgos - Cordoba, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Real Sociedad II 0–1 Castellón, August 14: the model's pick was Castellón to win (47%) and it came in.
- FC Andorra 5–1 AD Ceuta FC, August 15: the model's pick was FC Andorra to win (50%) and it came in.
- Oviedo 0–0 Granada CF, August 15: the model's pick was Oviedo to win (52%) and it missed.
- Cadiz 0–0 Celta de Vigo II, August 15: the model's pick was Cadiz to win (43%) and it missed.
- Mallorca 2–0 Valladolid, August 15: the model's pick was Mallorca to win (55%) and it came in.
- Eibar 1–3 Tenerife, August 16: the model's pick was Eibar to win (49%) and it missed.
- Girona 1–1 Leganes, August 16: the model's pick was Girona to win (59%) and it missed.
- Burgos 3–2 Cordoba, August 16: the model's pick was Burgos to win (40%) and it came in.
- Las Palmas 2–1 Albacete, August 16: the model's pick was Las Palmas to win (52%) and it came in.
- Sporting Gijon 0–0 Sabadell, August 17: the model's pick was Sporting Gijon to win (51%) and it missed.
- Almeria 3–0 Eldense, August 17: the model's pick was Almeria to win (64%) and it came in.
Matchday 1 FAQ
When is Segunda División Matchday 1 played?
From August 14 to August 17. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?
Almeria - Eldense: Almeria to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.