Segunda División · 2026/27
Segunda División Matchday 5 predictions
11 fixtures from September 11 to September 14. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, September 12 · 16:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 11
1X2
Saturday, September 12
1X2
Sunday, September 13
1X2
Monday, September 14
1X2
Segunda División Matchday 5 runs from September 11 to September 14 with 11 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Burgos - AD Ceuta FC: Burgos to win at 57%. The tightest match is Cadiz - Las Palmas, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Burgos 3–1 AD Ceuta FC, September 11: the model's pick was Burgos to win (57%) and it came in.
- FC Andorra 1–3 Real Sociedad II, September 12: the model's pick was FC Andorra to win (47%) and it missed.
- Cadiz 0–1 Las Palmas, September 12: the model's pick was Cadiz to win (40%) and it missed.
- Girona 1–2 Castellón, September 12: the model's pick was Girona to win (41%) and it missed.
- Granada CF 1–1 Albacete, September 12: the model's pick was Granada CF to win (49%) and it missed.
- Cordoba 0–2 Almeria, September 12: the model's pick was Cordoba to win (40%) and it missed.
- Sporting Gijon 0–1 Eldense, September 13: the model's pick was Sporting Gijon to win (57%) and it missed.
- Valladolid 0–3 Oviedo, September 13: the model's pick was Valladolid to win (40%) and it missed.
- Mallorca 2–0 Sabadell, September 13: the model's pick was Mallorca to win (48%) and it came in.
- Tenerife 2–0 Leganes, September 13: the model's pick was Tenerife to win (40%) and it came in.
- Celta de Vigo II 0–4 Eibar, September 14: the model's pick was Eibar to win (43%) and it came in.
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is Segunda División Matchday 5 played?
From September 11 to September 14. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
Burgos - AD Ceuta FC: Burgos to win at 57% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.