Segunda División · 2026/27
Segunda División Matchday 4 predictions
11 fixtures from September 4 to September 7. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, September 6 · 12:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 4
1X2Saturday, September 5
1X2Sunday, September 6
1X2Monday, September 7
1X2Segunda División Matchday 4 runs from September 4 to September 7 with 11 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Almeria - Cadiz: Almeria to win at 64%. The tightest match is Valladolid - FC Andorra, where no outcome clears 34%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Las Palmas 0–0 Leganes, September 4: the model's pick was Las Palmas to win (40%) and it missed.
- Real Sociedad II 1–1 Tenerife, September 5: the model's pick was Tenerife to win (40%) and it missed.
- Sporting Gijon 0–2 Girona, September 5: the model's pick was Girona to win (40%) and it came in.
- Valladolid 1–0 FC Andorra, September 5: the model's pick was Valladolid to win (34%) and it came in.
- AD Ceuta FC 0–2 Celta de Vigo II, September 5: the model's pick was AD Ceuta FC to win (40%) and it missed.
- Eldense 0–0 Mallorca, September 5: the model's pick was Mallorca to win (43%) and it missed.
- Eibar 3–0 Granada CF, September 6: the model's pick was Eibar to win (40%) and it came in.
- Oviedo 0–0 Burgos, September 6: the model's pick was Oviedo to win (47%) and it missed.
- Castellón 2–0 Albacete, September 6: the model's pick was Castellón to win (62%) and it came in.
- Almeria 3–2 Cadiz, September 6: the model's pick was Almeria to win (64%) and it came in.
- Sabadell 3–2 Cordoba, September 7: the model's pick was Sabadell to win (46%) and it came in.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is Segunda División Matchday 4 played?
From September 4 to September 7. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
Almeria - Cadiz: Almeria to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.





















