Who Will Win Segunda División?
2,000 season simulations · 33 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Segunda División 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Sporting Gijon wins Segunda División in 10.3% of 2,000 season simulations.
Cordoba — 9.4% title chance.
Eldense goes down in 21.5% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting Gijon | 0 | 0 | 10.3% | 27.8% | 7.3% | 4 |
| 2 |  Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 9.4% | 27.3% | 8.5% | 4 |
| 3 |  Tenerife | 0 | 0 | 8.3% | 26.9% | 9.2% | 4 |
| 4 |  Albacete | 0 | 0 | 6.8% | 23.9% | 8.6% | 4 |
| 5 |  Eibar | 0 | 0 | 6.3% | 23.2% | 9.8% | 4 |
| 6 |  Las Palmas | 0 | 0 | 6% | 21.1% | 12.1% | 4 |
| 7 |  Castellón | 0 | 0 | 5.9% | 20% | 10.2% | 4 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 0 | 0 | 5.9% | 20% | 10.7% | 4 |
| 9 |  Cadiz | 0 | 0 | 5% | 21.4% | 10.6% | 4 |
| 10 |  Almeria | 0 | 0 | 4.8% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 4 |
| 11 |  Girona | 0 | 0 | 4.1% | 19.3% | 11.9% | 4 |
| 12 |  Celta de Vigo II | 0 | 0 | 3.5% | 16.7% | 13% | 4 |
| 13 |  Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 3.4% | 20.2% | 9.9% | 4 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad II | 0 | 0 | 3.3% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 4 |
| 15 |  FC Andorra | 0 | 0 | 2.8% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 4 |
| 16 |  Oviedo | 0 | 0 | 2.6% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 4 |
| 17 |  Valladolid | 0 | 0 | 2.4% | 12.7% | 20.6% | 4 |
| 18 |  Sabadell | 0 | 0 | 2.3% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 4 |
| 19 |  Leganes | 0 | 0 | 2.2% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 4 |
| 20 |  Granada CF | 0 | 0 | 1.9% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 4 |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta FC | 0 | 0 | 1.8% | 11.5% | 19.8% | 4 |
| 22 |  Eldense | 0 | 0 | 1.5% | 10.4% | 21.5% | 4 |
Next Segunda División fixtures — with AI predictions
- Real Sociedad II – CastellónFri, Aug 14AI prediction →
- FC Andorra – AD Ceuta FCSat, Aug 15AI prediction →
- Oviedo – Granada CFSat, Aug 15AI prediction →
- Cadiz – Celta de Vigo IISat, Aug 15AI prediction →
- Mallorca – ValladolidSat, Aug 15AI prediction →
- Eibar – TenerifeSun, Aug 16AI prediction →
- Girona – LeganesSun, Aug 16AI prediction →
- Burgos – CordobaSun, Aug 16AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Segunda División fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Segunda División in 2026/27?
Sporting Gijon wins Segunda División in 10.3% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.