Who Will Win Segunda División?
2,000 season simulations · 462 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Segunda División 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Castellón wins Segunda División in 64.3% of 2,000 season simulations.
Almeria — 27.7% title chance.
AD Ceuta FC goes down in 98.2% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 27 | 64.3% | 98.7% | <0.1% | 88 |
| 2 |  Almeria | 12 | 26 | 27.7% | 93.9% | <0.1% | 84 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 23 | 2.8% | 53.3% | <0.1% | 75 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 23 | 2.4% | 47.6% | <0.1% | 75 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 22 | 1.3% | 37.3% | <0.1% | 73 |
| 6 |  Girona | 12 | 21 | 0.7% | 28.8% | <0.1% | 72 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 12 | 22 | 0.6% | 20.6% | <0.1% | 71 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 21 | 0.4% | 17.7% | <0.1% | 70 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 18 | 0.1% | 1.3% | <0.1% | 62 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 17 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 59 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 17 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 58 |
| 12 |  Cordoba | 12 | 16 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 56 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.8% | 55 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 14 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 54 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 3.4% | 51 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 13 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 6.3% | 48 |
| 17 |  Leganes | 12 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 19.2% | 44 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 24.3% | 44 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 11 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 26.6% | 43 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 12 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 29% | 43 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 90.3% | 33 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 98.2% | 28 |
Next Segunda División fixtures — with AI predictions
- Castellón – EibarFri, Nov 6AI prediction
- Burgos – Celta de Vigo IISat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Cadiz – OviedoSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Leganes – AlbaceteSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Cordoba – AD Ceuta FCSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Girona – AlmeriaSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Las Palmas – EldenseSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Sporting Gijon – ValladolidSun, Nov 8AI prediction
Methodology
Every remaining Segunda División fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Segunda División in 2026/27?
Castellón wins Segunda División in 64.3% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.