Who Will Win Segunda División?
2,000 season simulations · 462 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Segunda División 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Castellón wins Segunda División in 57.8% of 2,000 season simulations.
Eibar — 35.3% title chance.
AD Ceuta FC goes down in 99.4% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 5 | 13 | 57.8% | 98.4% | <0.1% | 91 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 5 | 12 | 35.3% | 95.2% | <0.1% | 88 |
| 3 |  Mallorca | 5 | 10 | 2.7% | 58.9% | <0.1% | 77 |
| 4 |  Tenerife | 5 | 10 | 2.7% | 51.5% | <0.1% | 76 |
| 5 |  Las Palmas | 5 | 10 | 1.1% | 35.3% | <0.1% | 74 |
| 6 |  Almeria | 5 | 9 | 0.4% | 25.5% | <0.1% | 71 |
| 7 |  Oviedo | 5 | 8 | 0.1% | 7.4% | <0.1% | 66 |
| 8 |  Sabadell | 5 | 8 | 0.1% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 63 |
| 9 |  Burgos | 5 | 8 | <0.1% | 6.7% | <0.1% | 65 |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad II | 5 | 8 | <0.1% | 6.5% | <0.1% | 65 |
| 11 |  Granada CF | 5 | 8 | <0.1% | 5.4% | <0.1% | 64 |
| 12 |  Leganes | 5 | 8 | <0.1% | 3.6% | <0.1% | 63 |
| 13 |  Girona | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 1.8% | <0.1% | 61 |
| 14 |  Celta de Vigo II | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 57 |
| 15 |  Sporting Gijon | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 57 |
| 16 |  Cordoba | 6 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 5.6% | 46 |
| 17 |  Eldense | 5 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 5.2% | 46 |
| 18 |  Valladolid | 5 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 24% | 40 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 5 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 33.3% | 38 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 5 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 38.7% | 38 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 6 | 1 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 93.5% | 26 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 5 | 0 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 99.4% | 19 |
Next Segunda División fixtures — with AI predictions
- Sabadell – OviedoSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- AD Ceuta FC – ValladolidSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Las Palmas – BurgosSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Almeria – Celta de Vigo IISun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Leganes – Granada CFSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Girona – AlbaceteFri, Sep 25AI prediction →
- AD Ceuta FC – Real Sociedad IISat, Sep 26AI prediction →
- Granada CF – FC AndorraSat, Sep 26AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Segunda División fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Segunda División in 2026/27?
Castellón wins Segunda División in 57.8% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.