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  1. Home
  2. Premiership
  3. Hibernian vs Motherwell

Hibernian vs Motherwell

Result • Premiership·Hibernian·Motherwell

Premiership
Premiership
Aug 2, 2026
15:30
medium Confidence
Hibernian

Hibernian

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.22
X3.45
23.05
Stadium
Easter Road
medium Confidence
WINNER
Motherwell

Motherwell

Away
Odds
12.22
X3.45
23.05
Stadium
Easter Road
Win Probabilities
34%
Hibernian
32%
Draw
34%
Motherwell
Home2.2234%
Draw3.4532%
Away3.0534%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

This is a tight, evenly-matched contest with Hibernian holding a slight edge at home, but Motherwell's strong defensive form (3 clean sheets in 5) makes them a tough opponent. The main risk is that Hibernian's recent scoring struggles could allow Motherwell to snatch a result.

Our AI model analyzes this Premiership fixture between Hibernian and Motherwell using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Hibernian a 34% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Motherwell a 34% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Martin Boyle vs Tom Sparrow: Boyle's pace and direct running on the right wing will test Sparrow's defensive discipline. If Boyle gets the better of this duel, Hibernian could create significant chances.
2Nathan Lowe vs Martin Moormann: Lowe's movement and finishing ability will be a constant threat to Moormann, who must stay alert to prevent him from getting into scoring positions.
3Regan Charles-Cook vs Jordan Obita: Charles-Cook's attacking runs from midfield could exploit space behind Obita, making this a crucial battle in determining which team controls the wide areas.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Hibernian

  • Home advantage at Easter Road
  • Scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game in recent matches
  • Failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games
  • No clean sheets in the last 5 matches

Motherwell

  • Excellent defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Current 2-game winning streak
  • Conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game in recent matches
  • Lower scoring output compared to Hibernian (1.8 goals per game)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
34%
API-Football
45%
40%
Motherwell223940

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (40%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the available data, this match is expected to be a closely contested affair, with Hibernian holding a slight edge according to the market. However, the statistical model suggests a more balanced contest, with Motherwell having a narrow advantage. The overall picture points to a tight, evenly-matched game where either side could prevail.

Form Analysis: Hibernian come into this match with a mixed recent run, having won two of their last five, but they have also lost two. They have scored 4 goals in that period, averaging 2.2 per game, but have conceded 3, with no clean sheets. Motherwell, on the other hand, have won three of their last five, including their last two, and have kept three clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals, averaging 1.8 per game, and conceded 0 in that span, though the data shows an average of 1.6 conceded, which is inconsistent. Nevertheless, Motherwell's defensive solidity is a key factor.

Key Factors: Motherwell's excellent defensive record, with three clean sheets in five games, is a significant advantage. Hibernian's failure to score in two of their last five games highlights a potential weakness in attack. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with three wins each and four draws in the last ten meetings, indicating no psychological edge. Home advantage is present for Hibernian, but it is not overwhelming.

Conclusion: The match is likely to be decided by fine margins. While Hibernian have home advantage and a slight market edge, Motherwell's superior defensive form and recent momentum make them a formidable opponent. The data suggests a low-scoring, tight contest, with a draw being a very plausible outcome. However, given the market's slight lean towards Hibernian, a narrow home win is the most likely result, but with low confidence.

Statistical ContextMotherwell

Double chance : draw or Motherwell

Team Comparison

AI Powered
HibernianMotherwell
41%Strength59%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
44%Goals H2H56%
41%Wins the Game59%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · HibernianInjuries · Motherwell</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Hibernian

LLWLD
  • LSep 6, 26A · ST Johnstone2-1
  • LSep 3, 26H · Heart Of Midlothian1-3
  • WAug 30, 26A · Dundee1-2
  • LAug 27, 26H · Gent2-3
  • DAug 20, 26A · Gent0-0

Motherwell

LWDLL
  • LSep 5, 26A · Rangers1-0
  • WSep 2, 26H · Dundee Utd3-0
  • DAug 30, 26A · ST Mirren3-3
  • LAug 27, 26A · SC Freiburg4-1
  • LAug 20, 26H · SC Freiburg1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4ST Mirren6+210LLWDW
5Motherwell5+38LWDDW
6Dundee6+17LDLWW
7ST Johnstone6-17LWDLL
8Hibernian5-26LLWWL
9Dundee Utd6-55DLWLL

Head to Head

3
Hibernian
4
Draws
3
Motherwell
  • May 16, 26Hibernian – Motherwell0-1
  • Mar 21, 26Motherwell – Hibernian0-0
  • Jan 10, 26Hibernian – Motherwell1-1
  • Nov 25, 25Motherwell – Hibernian2-0
  • Jan 11, 25Hibernian – Motherwell3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

HibernianMotherwell
Played55
Goals Scored78
Goals Conceded95
Avg Scored1.41.6
Avg Conceded1.81.0
Clean Sheets02

Hibernian vs Motherwell — Match Analysis

This is a tight, evenly-matched contest with Hibernian holding a slight edge at home, but Motherwell's strong defensive form (3 clean sheets in 5) makes them a tough opponent. The main risk is that Hibernian's recent scoring struggles could allow Motherwell to snatch a result.

Based on the available data, this match is expected to be a closely contested affair, with Hibernian holding a slight edge according to the market. However, the statistical model suggests a more balanced contest, with Motherwell having a narrow advantage. The overall picture points to a tight, evenly-matched game where either side could prevail.

Form Analysis: Hibernian come into this match with a mixed recent run, having won two of their last five, but they have also lost two. They have scored 4 goals in that period, averaging 2.2 per game, but have conceded 3, with no clean sheets. Motherwell, on the other hand, have won three of their last five, including their last two, and have kept three clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals, averaging 1.8 per game, and conceded 0 in that span, though the data shows an average of 1.6 conceded, which is inconsistent. Nevertheless, Motherwell's defensive solidity is a key factor.

Key Factors: Motherwell's excellent defensive record, with three clean sheets in five games, is a significant advantage. Hibernian's failure to score in two of their last five games highlights a potential weakness in attack. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with three wins each and four draws in the last ten meetings, indicating no psychological edge. Home advantage is present for Hibernian, but it is not overwhelming.

Conclusion: The match is likely to be decided by fine margins. While Hibernian have home advantage and a slight market edge, Motherwell's superior defensive form and recent momentum make them a formidable opponent. The data suggests a low-scoring, tight contest, with a draw being a very plausible outcome. However, given the market's slight lean towards Hibernian, a narrow home win is the most likely result, but with low confidence.

Win Probabilities: Hibernian: 34% · Draw: 32% · Motherwell: 34%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Hibernian wins: 3 · Draws: 4 · Motherwell wins: 3

Form (latest first): Hibernian: LLWLD · Motherwell: LWDLL

  • Martin Boyle vs Tom Sparrow: Boyle's pace and direct running on the right wing will test Sparrow's defensive discipline. If Boyle gets the better of this duel, Hibernian could create significant chances.
  • Nathan Lowe vs Martin Moormann: Lowe's movement and finishing ability will be a constant threat to Moormann, who must stay alert to prevent him from getting into scoring positions.
  • Regan Charles-Cook vs Jordan Obita: Charles-Cook's attacking runs from midfield could exploit space behind Obita, making this a crucial battle in determining which team controls the wide areas.

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Premiership

Premiership

Scotland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Sep 1518:45
Kilmarnock
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Sep 1518:45
Aberdeen
11.6461%
X5.0020%
25.2619%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Sep 1518:45
Heart Of Midlothian
14.7621%
X3.4529%
22.0050%
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Sep 1914:00
Aberdeen
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
PremiershipScotland
ST Mirren
Sep 1914:00
Dundee Utd
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee
Sep 1914:00
Motherwell
13.2331%
X3.5728%
22.4441%
PremiershipScotland
ST Johnstone
Sep 1914:00
Falkirk
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Sep 1916:45
Heart Of Midlothian
15.2619%
X3.5728%
21.8953%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Sep 2011:00
Rangers
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
PremiershipScotland
Heart Of Midlothian
Oct 1014:00
ST Mirren
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
PremiershipScotland
Rangers
Oct 1014:00
Kilmarnock
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee Utd
Oct 1014:00
Hibernian
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Oct 1014:00
Dundee
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Oct 1111:00
Celtic
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 1113:00
ST Johnstone
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%

Betting Tips

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