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  1. Home
  2. Premiership
  3. Falkirk vs ST Mirren

Falkirk vs ST Mirren

Result • Premiership·Falkirk·ST Mirren

Premiership
Premiership
Aug 1, 2026
14:00
high Confidence
Falkirk

Falkirk

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.97
X3.60
23.55
Stadium
Falkirk Stadium
high Confidence
WINNER
ST Mirren

ST Mirren

Away
Odds
11.97
X3.60
23.55
Stadium
Falkirk Stadium
Win Probabilities
47%
Falkirk
31%
Draw
22%
ST Mirren
Home1.9747%
Draw3.6031%
Away3.5522%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Falkirk are the clear favourites, backed by a superior league position and a strong head-to-head record against ST Mirren. However, ST Mirren's excellent defensive form could make this a tight contest, so a narrow home win is the most likely outcome.

Our AI model analyzes this Premiership fixture between Falkirk and ST Mirren using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Falkirk a 47% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and ST Mirren a 22% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Scott Bain vs Jacob Chapman: Both goalkeepers have been crucial, with Bain's experience against Chapman's shot-stopping. The duel could decide the match.
2Ryan Strain vs Marcus Fraser: Strain's attacking runs from full-back will test Fraser's defensive positioning. Key battle on the right flank.
3Craig Sibbald vs Killian Phillips: Sibbald's creativity in midfield against Phillips' energy and pressing. Whoever wins this midfield battle could control the game.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Falkirk

  • Strong head-to-head record against ST Mirren
  • Higher league position (3rd) indicates better overall squad
  • Inconsistent recent form (LLLWL)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games

ST Mirren

  • Excellent defensive form with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Better recent form (WDDWL) with only one loss
  • Lower league position (8th) suggests inconsistency
  • Head-to-head disadvantage against Falkirk

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
47%
API-Football
45%
46%
Falkirk463816

Moderate agreement on home win (46%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Falkirk enter this Premiership clash as the clear favourites, backed by a superior league position and a strong head-to-head record against ST Mirren. The bookmaker odds and the statistical model align on a home victory, giving high confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Falkirk's recent form has been inconsistent (LLLWL), but they have shown resilience with two clean sheets in their last five matches. ST Mirren, on the other hand, are in better form (WDDWL) with three clean sheets, but their overall league standing (8th) suggests they are less consistent over the season.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the head-to-head record, where Falkirk have won five of the last ten meetings, with ST Mirren winning only three. Additionally, Falkirk's higher league position (3rd vs 8th) indicates a stronger overall squad. ST Mirren's defensive solidity could make this a tight contest, but Falkirk's home advantage and historical dominance tilt the balance.

Conclusion: Based on the data, Falkirk are the more likely winners, but ST Mirren's defensive form suggests they could keep it close. A narrow home victory is the most probable outcome, with a draw as a secondary possibility.

Statistical ContextFalkirk

Double chance : Falkirk or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FalkirkST Mirren
59%Strength41%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
60%H2H Strength40%
58%Goals H2H42%
59%Wins the Game41%

Statistical Context

Falkirk

LLLWL
  • LMay 16, 26H · Rangers2-5
  • LMay 13, 26A · Heart Of Midlothian3-0
  • LMay 9, 26H · Hibernian1-3
  • WMay 2, 26H · Motherwell1-0
  • LApr 25, 26A · Celtic3-1

ST Mirren

WDDWL
  • WMay 25, 26H · Partick1-0
  • DMay 21, 26A · Partick1-1
  • DMay 17, 26H · Dundee Utd1-1
  • WMay 12, 26A · Aberdeen0-2
  • LMay 9, 26H · Kilmarnock0-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1ST Mirren1+23W
2ST Johnstone1+13W
11Heart Of Midlothian1-10L
12Falkirk1-20L

Head to Head

5
Falkirk
2
Draws
3
ST Mirren
  • Mar 21, 26Falkirk – ST Mirren1-2
  • Jan 10, 26ST Mirren – Falkirk0-2
  • Sep 13, 25Falkirk – ST Mirren1-2
  • Apr 28, 18Falkirk – St Mirren1-0
  • Apr 17, 18St Mirren – Falkirk1-2

Falkirk vs ST Mirren — Match Analysis

Falkirk are the clear favourites, backed by a superior league position and a strong head-to-head record against ST Mirren. However, ST Mirren's excellent defensive form could make this a tight contest, so a narrow home win is the most likely outcome.

Falkirk enter this Premiership clash as the clear favourites, backed by a superior league position and a strong head-to-head record against ST Mirren. The bookmaker odds and the statistical model align on a home victory, giving high confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Falkirk's recent form has been inconsistent (LLLWL), but they have shown resilience with two clean sheets in their last five matches. ST Mirren, on the other hand, are in better form (WDDWL) with three clean sheets, but their overall league standing (8th) suggests they are less consistent over the season.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the head-to-head record, where Falkirk have won five of the last ten meetings, with ST Mirren winning only three. Additionally, Falkirk's higher league position (3rd vs 8th) indicates a stronger overall squad. ST Mirren's defensive solidity could make this a tight contest, but Falkirk's home advantage and historical dominance tilt the balance.

Conclusion: Based on the data, Falkirk are the more likely winners, but ST Mirren's defensive form suggests they could keep it close. A narrow home victory is the most probable outcome, with a draw as a secondary possibility.

Win Probabilities: Falkirk: 47% · Draw: 31% · ST Mirren: 22%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Falkirk wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · ST Mirren wins: 3

Form (latest first): Falkirk: LLLWL · ST Mirren: WDDWL

  • Scott Bain vs Jacob Chapman: Both goalkeepers have been crucial, with Bain's experience against Chapman's shot-stopping. The duel could decide the match.
  • Ryan Strain vs Marcus Fraser: Strain's attacking runs from full-back will test Fraser's defensive positioning. Key battle on the right flank.
  • Craig Sibbald vs Killian Phillips: Sibbald's creativity in midfield against Phillips' energy and pressing. Whoever wins this midfield battle could control the game.

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Premiership

Premiership

Scotland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Aug 318:30
Dundee
11.4171%
X4.7621%
212.508%
PremiershipScotland
ST Mirren
Aug 814:00
ST Johnstone
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee
Aug 814:00
Aberdeen
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Aug 912:30
Celtic
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
PremiershipScotland
Heart Of Midlothian
Aug 914:00
Dundee Utd
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Aug 914:00
Falkirk
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
PremiershipScotland
Rangers
Aug 915:00
Hibernian
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Aug 2214:00
Kilmarnock
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Aug 2214:00
Aberdeen
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
PremiershipScotland
Rangers
Aug 2214:00
ST Mirren
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
PremiershipScotland
ST Johnstone
Aug 2214:00
Celtic
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Aug 2214:00
Heart Of Midlothian
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee Utd
Aug 2216:45
Dundee
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Aug 2914:00
Falkirk
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Aug 2914:00
Dundee Utd
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%