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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Premiership
  3. Livingston vs Kilmarnock

Livingston vs Kilmarnock

Result • Premiership·Livingston·Kilmarnock

Premiership
Premiership
May 17, 2026
13:00
high Confidence
Livingston

Livingston

Home
Final Score
1-4
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-4
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.80
X3.60
22.30
Stadium
The Home of the Set Fare Arena
high Confidence
WINNER
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Away
Odds
12.80
X3.60
22.30
Stadium
The Home of the Set Fare Arena
Win Probabilities
27%
Livingston
31%
Draw
42%
Kilmarnock
Home2.8027%
Draw3.6031%
Away2.3042%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Kilmarnock's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Premiership fixture between Livingston and Kilmarnock using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Livingston a 27% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Kilmarnock a 42% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Goal: S. MayAssist: B. McKay
    19'
    Goal: S. MayLivingston · Assist: B. McKay
  2. 24'
    Goal: J. HugillKilmarnock · Assist: D. Thompson
    Goal: J. HugillAssist: D. Thompson
  3. Yellow Card: E. Danso
    31'
    Yellow Card: E. DansoLivingston
  4. 34'
    Goal: N. ClescencoKilmarnock · Assist: G. Kiltie
    Goal: N. ClescencoAssist: G. Kiltie
  5. 38'
    Yellow Card: D. ThompsonKilmarnock
    Yellow Card: D. Thompson
  6. 46'
    Substitution: B. LyonsKilmarnock · Out: M. Schjonning-Larsen
    Substitution: B. LyonsOut: M. Schjonning-Larsen
  7. 53'
    Goal: F. CurtisKilmarnock · Assist: D. Thompson
    Goal: F. CurtisAssist: D. Thompson
  8. Substitution: J. NoubleOut: R. Muirhead
    56'
    Substitution: J. NoubleLivingston · Out: R. Muirhead
  9. Substitution: A. DenholmOut: E. Danso
    56'
    Substitution: A. DenholmLivingston · Out: E. Danso
  10. Substitution: J. ZimmermanOut: B. McKay
    56'
    Substitution: J. ZimmermanLivingston · Out: B. McKay
  11. 58'
    Goal: J. HugillKilmarnock · Assist: R. Deas
    Goal: J. HugillAssist: R. Deas
  12. 62'
    Substitution: J. ThomsonKilmarnock · Out: A. Tshibola
    Substitution: J. ThomsonOut: A. Tshibola
  13. 62'
    Substitution: E. Schilte-BrownKilmarnock · Out: G. Stanger
    Substitution: E. Schilte-BrownOut: G. Stanger
  14. 66'
    Substitution: D. WatsonKilmarnock · Out: N. Clescenco
    Substitution: D. WatsonOut: N. Clescenco
  15. Substitution: S. CulbertOut: L. Smith
    66'
    Substitution: S. CulbertLivingston · Out: L. Smith
  16. 70'
    Yellow Card: B. LyonsKilmarnock
    Yellow Card: B. Lyons
  17. 84'
    Substitution: E. BowieKilmarnock · Out: D. Thompson
    Substitution: E. BowieOut: D. Thompson
  18. Substitution: B. FatiOut: M. Tait
    85'
    Substitution: B. FatiLivingston · Out: M. Tait
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. Smith vs Kilmarnock defense: Livingston's top scorer faces a well-organized backline.
2T. John-Jules vs Livingston defense: The away team's key striker will test a vulnerable home defense.
3Midfield battle: Livingston's midfield must contain Kilmarnock's creative trio.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Livingston

  • Set pieces
  • Counter-attacks
  • Defensive organization
  • Creating chances

Kilmarnock

  • Attacking fluidity
  • Pressing
  • Defensive lapses
  • Aerial defense

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
42%
API-Football
45%
44%
Kilmarnock193844

Moderate agreement on away win (44%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, Kilmarnock is the predicted winner. Bookmaker odds imply a 41% chance for an away win, and the API-Football model also favors Kilmarnock (45% away win probability, predicted winner: Kilmarnock). The API comparison strongly favors Kilmarnock in form (67%), attack (65%), defense (67%), and overall (66.7%).

Form Analysis: Kilmarnock is on a 3-match winning streak, while Livingston has only 1 win in their last 5 (DLDWL). Kilmarnock averages 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, compared to Livingston's 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Key Factors: 1) Kilmarnock's superior recent form and momentum. 2) Head-to-head dominance: Kilmarnock has won 5 of the last 10 meetings, with Livingston winning only 2. 3) Livingston's poor league position (12th, 16 points) vs Kilmarnock (11th, 28 points).

Conclusion: All indicators point to a Kilmarnock victory. The odds and model agree, and the form and H2H data support an away win.

Statistical ContextKilmarnock

Double chance : draw or Kilmarnock

Team Comparison

AI Powered
LivingstonKilmarnock
33%Strength66%
35%Attacking Potential65%
33%Defensive Potential67%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
15%H2H Strength85%
30%Goals H2H70%
33%Wins the Game66%

More information

Premiership predicted line-ups: Gameweek 127/7Head-to-headLivingston – KilmarnockInjuriesLivingstonInjuriesKilmarnockLive scores

Statistical Context

Livingston

WDLLW
  • WOct 24, 26H · Arbroath1-0
  • DOct 17, 26A · Dunfermline0-0
  • LOct 10, 26H · Partick1-2
  • LOct 3, 26H · Ayr Utd1-2
  • WSep 25, 26A · Raith Rovers0-2

Kilmarnock

LLWLD
  • LOct 28, 26A · Dundee3-1
  • LOct 24, 26A · Falkirk3-0
  • WOct 17, 26H · Motherwell3-2
  • LOct 10, 26A · Rangers3-1
  • DSep 19, 26H · Heart Of Midlothian1-1

Head to Head

5
Livingston
3
Draws
2
Kilmarnock
  • Mar 21, 26Kilmarnock – Livingston2-0
  • Jan 10, 26Livingston – Kilmarnock1-1
  • Aug 2, 25Kilmarnock – Livingston2-2
  • Jul 16, 25Kilmarnock – Livingston1-0
  • Feb 7, 24Kilmarnock – Livingston1-0

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

LivingstonKilmarnock
Played3710
Goals Scored3910
Goals Conceded7123
Avg Scored1.11.0
Avg Conceded1.92.3
Clean Sheets42

Livingston vs Kilmarnock — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Kilmarnock's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the data, Kilmarnock is the predicted winner. Bookmaker odds imply a 41% chance for an away win, and the API-Football model also favors Kilmarnock (45% away win probability, predicted winner: Kilmarnock). The API comparison strongly favors Kilmarnock in form (67%), attack (65%), defense (67%), and overall (66.7%).

Form Analysis: Kilmarnock is on a 3-match winning streak, while Livingston has only 1 win in their last 5 (DLDWL). Kilmarnock averages 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, compared to Livingston's 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Key Factors: 1) Kilmarnock's superior recent form and momentum. 2) Head-to-head dominance: Kilmarnock has won 5 of the last 10 meetings, with Livingston winning only 2. 3) Livingston's poor league position (12th, 16 points) vs Kilmarnock (11th, 28 points).

Conclusion: All indicators point to a Kilmarnock victory. The odds and model agree, and the form and H2H data support an away win.

Win Probabilities: Livingston: 27% · Draw: 31% · Kilmarnock: 42%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Livingston wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · Kilmarnock wins: 2

Form (latest first): Livingston: WDLLW · Kilmarnock: LLWLD

  • L. Smith vs Kilmarnock defense: Livingston's top scorer faces a well-organized backline.
  • T. John-Jules vs Livingston defense: The away team's key striker will test a vulnerable home defense.
  • Midfield battle: Livingston's midfield must contain Kilmarnock's creative trio.

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Premiership

Premiership

Scotland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Oct 3115:00
ST Johnstone
13.7027%
X3.1332%
22.4441%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Oct 3115:00
ST Mirren
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Nov 113:00
Celtic
110.0010%
X5.2619%
21.4171%
PremiershipScotland
ST Johnstone
Nov 715:00
Dundee
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee Utd
Nov 715:00
Motherwell
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Nov 717:45
Hibernian
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
PremiershipScotland
ST Mirren
Nov 720:00
Rangers
Early projection
14.1724%
X5.0020%
21.7956%
PremiershipScotland
Heart Of Midlothian
Nov 815:00
Falkirk
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Nov 816:00
Kilmarnock
Early projection
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Nov 2115:00
ST Mirren
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Nov 2115:00
Dundee Utd
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Nov 2115:00
Aberdeen
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Nov 2115:00
ST Johnstone
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee
Nov 2117:45
Heart Of Midlothian
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Nov 2120:00
Rangers
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%

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