First League · 2026/27
First League Matchday 16 predictions
4 fixtures from November 27 to November 28. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, November 28 · 13:15
Every fixture this round
First League Matchday 16 runs from November 27 to November 28 with 4 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Botev Vratsa - Ludogorets: Ludogorets to win at 72%. The tightest match is Lokomotiv Sofia - Slavia Sofia, where no outcome clears 36%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia, November 27: the model's pick is Lokomotiv Sofia to win (36%).
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna, November 28: the model's pick is Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win (37%).
- Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets, November 28: the model's pick is Ludogorets to win (72%).
- Cherno More Varna vs Botev Plovdiv, November 28: the model's pick is Botev Plovdiv to win (52%).
Matchday 16 FAQ
When is First League Matchday 16 played?
From November 27 to November 28. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 16?
Botev Vratsa - Ludogorets: Ludogorets to win at 72% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.