League Two · 2026/27
League Two Matchday 11 predictions
12 fixtures from October 17 to October 17. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, October 17 · 14:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, October 17
1X2- 2–0
Fleetwood Town#16
Rotherham#2240%27%33%✓ Hit - 1–0
Shrewsbury#15
Bristol Rovers#1731%28%41%✗ Miss - 4–1
Oldham#18
Cheltenham#550%24%26%✓ Hit - 1–0
Port Vale#19
Chesterfield#1032%28%40%✗ Miss - 1–1
Swindon Town#13
Walsall#333%26%41%✗ Miss - 3–1
Accrington ST#9
Gillingham#840%26%34%✓ Hit - 0–0
Colchester#23
Exeter City#1241%29%30%✗ Miss - 3–2
Crewe#4
Rochdale#2052%25%23%✓ Hit - 0–2
Grimsby#6
Northampton#2157%23%20%✗ Miss - 1–1
Newport County#14
York#728%26%46%✗ Miss - 1–2
Tranmere#11
Barnet#226%24%50%✓ Hit - 2–1
Salford City#1
Crawley Town#2476%14%10%✓ Hit
League Two Matchday 11 runs from October 17 to October 17 with 12 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Salford City - Crawley Town: Salford City to win at 76%. The tightest match is Fleetwood Town - Rotherham, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Fleetwood Town 2–0 Rotherham, October 17: the model's pick was Fleetwood Town to win (40%) and it came in.
- Shrewsbury 1–0 Bristol Rovers, October 17: the model's pick was Bristol Rovers to win (41%) and it missed.
- Oldham 4–1 Cheltenham, October 17: the model's pick was Oldham to win (50%) and it came in.
- Port Vale 1–0 Chesterfield, October 17: the model's pick was Chesterfield to win (40%) and it missed.
- Swindon Town 1–1 Walsall, October 17: the model's pick was Walsall to win (41%) and it missed.
- Accrington ST 3–1 Gillingham, October 17: the model's pick was Accrington ST to win (40%) and it came in.
- Colchester 0–0 Exeter City, October 17: the model's pick was Colchester to win (41%) and it missed.
- Crewe 3–2 Rochdale, October 17: the model's pick was Crewe to win (52%) and it came in.
- Grimsby 0–2 Northampton, October 17: the model's pick was Grimsby to win (57%) and it missed.
- Newport County 1–1 York, October 17: the model's pick was York to win (46%) and it missed.
- Tranmere 1–2 Barnet, October 17: the model's pick was Barnet to win (50%) and it came in.
- Salford City 2–1 Crawley Town, October 17: the model's pick was Salford City to win (76%) and it came in.
Matchday 11 FAQ
When is League Two Matchday 11 played?
From October 17 to October 17. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?
Salford City - Crawley Town: Salford City to win at 76% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.