Who Will Win League Two?
2,000 season simulations · 552 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the League Two 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Salford City wins League Two in 65.7% of 2,000 season simulations.
Barnet — 29.9% title chance.
Crawley Town goes down in 96.5% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 13 | 28 | 65.7% | 99.3% | <0.1% | 91 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 11 | 22 | 29.9% | 96.6% | <0.1% | 87 |
| 3 |  York | 12 | 20 | 2.4% | 56.3% | <0.1% | 76 |
| 4 |  Walsall | 12 | 19 | 1.1% | 39.2% | 0.1% | 73 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 13 | 21 | 0.6% | 29.2% | <0.1% | 72 |
| 6 |  Crewe | 13 | 21 | 0.4% | 29.6% | <0.1% | 72 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 13 | 19 | 0.1% | 16% | 0.1% | 69 |
| 8 |  Exeter City | 13 | 19 | <0.1% | 12.8% | 0.4% | 68 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 13 | 18 | <0.1% | 10.3% | 0.4% | 67 |
| 10 |  Shrewsbury | 13 | 18 | <0.1% | 2.9% | 1% | 63 |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 13 | 17 | <0.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 63 |
| 12 |  Gillingham | 13 | 17 | <0.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 62 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 13 | 16 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 4.1% | 60 |
| 14 |  Swindon Town | 13 | 16 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 5.3% | 59 |
| 15 |  Bristol Rovers | 13 | 16 | <0.1% | 0.8% | 6.6% | 59 |
| 16 |  Northampton | 11 | 13 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 6.1% | 59 |
| 17 |  Newport County | 13 | 15 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 7.7% | 57 |
| 18 |  Rochdale | 13 | 15 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 14% | 55 |
| 19 |  Fleetwood Town | 13 | 14 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 16.6% | 55 |
| 20 |  Port Vale | 11 | 12 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 24.3% | 53 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 12 | 12 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 30.2% | 52 |
| 22 |  Colchester | 12 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 33.8% | 51 |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 13 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 50.2% | 49 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 11 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 96.5% | 37 |
Next League Two fixtures — with AI predictions
- Barnet – YorkTue, Oct 27AI prediction →
- Newport County – ChesterfieldFri, Oct 30AI prediction →
- Port Vale – RochdaleSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Grimsby – YorkSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Fleetwood Town – Bristol RoversSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Oldham – Crawley TownSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Shrewsbury – GillinghamSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Swindon Town – RotherhamSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining League Two fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win League Two in 2026/27?
Salford City wins League Two in 65.7% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.