Who Will Win League Two?
2,000 season simulations · 552 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the League Two 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Bristol Rovers wins League Two in 77.4% of 2,000 season simulations.
Swindon Town — 6.6% title chance.
Port Vale goes down in 84.7% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bristol Rovers | 5 | 12 | 77.4% | 97.9% | <0.1% | 98 |
| 2 |  Swindon Town | 5 | 10 | 6.6% | 63.2% | <0.1% | 84 |
| 3 |  Barnet | 5 | 9 | 3.6% | 48.5% | <0.1% | 81 |
| 4 |  Tranmere | 5 | 9 | 3.6% | 44.7% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 5 |  Walsall | 5 | 9 | 3.4% | 44.2% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 6 |  Fleetwood Town | 5 | 9 | 3.3% | 39.8% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 7 |  Crewe | 5 | 9 | 1.8% | 33.5% | <0.1% | 79 |
| 8 |  York | 5 | 8 | 0.4% | 9.5% | 0.1% | 72 |
| 9 |  Cheltenham | 5 | 8 | 0.2% | 10.2% | 0.1% | 72 |
| 10 |  Oldham | 5 | 7 | 0.1% | 3.7% | <0.1% | 68 |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 3.4% | <0.1% | 66 |
| 12 |  Colchester | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 1% | 0.4% | 63 |
| 13 |  Gillingham | 5 | 6 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 61 |
| 14 |  Northampton | 5 | 6 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 61 |
| 15 |  Salford City | 5 | 6 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 1.9% | 58 |
| 16 |  Exeter City | 5 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 4.6% | 55 |
| 17 |  Chesterfield | 5 | 5 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 6.4% | 54 |
| 18 |  Rotherham | 5 | 5 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 6% | 54 |
| 19 |  Accrington ST | 5 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 6.7% | 53 |
| 20 |  Newport County | 5 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 19.1% | 49 |
| 21 |  Crawley Town | 5 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 26.4% | 47 |
| 22 |  Rochdale | 5 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 64.1% | 40 |
| 23 |  Shrewsbury | 5 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 78.4% | 37 |
| 24 |  Port Vale | 5 | 2 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 84.7% | 36 |
Next League Two fixtures — with AI predictions
- Crawley Town – CheltenhamSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Grimsby – Bristol RoversSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Rotherham – Salford CitySat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Walsall – RochdaleSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Gillingham – TranmereSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Oldham – ChesterfieldSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Port Vale – Exeter CitySat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Shrewsbury – NorthamptonSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining League Two fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win League Two in 2026/27?
Bristol Rovers wins League Two in 77.4% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.