Premier League · 2026/27

Premier League Matchday 1 predictions

10 fixtures from August 21 to August 24. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Sunday, August 23 · 15:30

Newcastle#7

2–2

Liverpool#6
1 · 30%X · 29%2 · 41%
Liverpool to win · 41%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, August 21

  1. 3–0
    Arsenal#2
    Coventry#20
    84%13%3%

Saturday, August 22

  1. 2–0
    Hull City#3
    Manchester United#11
    10%21%69%
  2. 2–0
    Everton#8
    Crystal Palace#13
    44%29%27%
  3. 2–1
    Ipswich#14
    Sunderland#12
    34%27%39%
  4. 0–1
    Nottingham Forest#16
    Leeds#9
    40%29%31%
  5. 3–0
    Brentford#5
    Tottenham#18
    26%29%45%

Sunday, August 23

  1. 2–1
    Manchester City#1
    Bournemouth#15
    65%22%13%
  2. 4–0
    Brighton#10
    Aston Villa#17
    40%27%33%
  3. 2–2
    Newcastle#7
    Liverpool#6
    30%29%41%

Monday, August 24

  1. 2–3
    Fulham#19
    Chelsea#4
    22%28%50%

Premier League Matchday 1 runs from August 21 to August 24 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Arsenal - Coventry: Arsenal to win at 84%. The tightest match is Ipswich - Sunderland, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Premier League predictions →Premier League table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 1 FAQ

When is Premier League Matchday 1 played?

From August 21 to August 24. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?

Arsenal - Coventry: Arsenal to win at 84% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.