Premier League · 2026/27
Premier League Matchday 1 predictions
10 fixtures from August 21 to August 24. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, August 23 · 13:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, August 21
1X2
Saturday, August 22
1X2
Sunday, August 23
1X2
Monday, August 24
1X2
Premier League Matchday 1 runs from August 21 to August 24 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Arsenal - Coventry: Arsenal to win at 84%. The tightest match is Ipswich - Sunderland, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Arsenal 3–0 Coventry, August 21: the model's pick was Arsenal to win (84%) and it came in.
- Hull City 2–0 Manchester United, August 22: the model's pick was Manchester United to win (69%) and it missed.
- Everton 2–0 Crystal Palace, August 22: the model's pick was Everton to win (44%) and it came in.
- Ipswich 2–1 Sunderland, August 22: the model's pick was Sunderland to win (39%) and it missed.
- Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds, August 22: the model's pick was Nottingham Forest to win (40%) and it missed.
- Brentford 3–0 Tottenham, August 22: the model's pick was Tottenham to win (45%) and it missed.
- Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth, August 23: the model's pick was Manchester City to win (65%) and it came in.
- Brighton 4–0 Aston Villa, August 23: the model's pick was Brighton to win (40%) and it came in.
- Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool, August 23: the model's pick was Liverpool to win (41%) and it missed.
- Fulham 2–3 Chelsea, August 24: the model's pick was Chelsea to win (50%) and it came in.
Matchday 1 FAQ
When is Premier League Matchday 1 played?
From August 21 to August 24. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?
Arsenal - Coventry: Arsenal to win at 84% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.