Premier League · 2026/27
Premier League Matchday 6 predictions
10 fixtures from October 10 to October 12. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, October 11 · 15:30
Every fixture this round
Saturday, October 10
1X2
Sunday, October 11
1X2
Monday, October 12
1X2
Premier League Matchday 6 runs from October 10 to October 12 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Arsenal - Leeds: Arsenal to win at 67%. The tightest match is Ipswich - Fulham, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Arsenal 2–1 Leeds, October 10: the model's pick was Arsenal to win (67%) and it came in.
- Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth, October 10: the model's pick was Chelsea to win (52%) and it came in.
- Ipswich 2–1 Fulham, October 10: the model's pick was Fulham to win (38%) and it missed.
- Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford, October 10: the model's pick was Brentford to win (40%) and it missed.
- Sunderland 0–2 Brighton, October 10: the model's pick was Brighton to win (40%) and it came in.
- Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham, October 10: the model's pick was Manchester United to win (57%) and it missed.
- Crystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham Forest, October 11: the model's pick was Nottingham Forest to win (40%) and it missed.
- Hull City 2–2 Everton, October 11: the model's pick was Everton to win (46%) and it missed.
- Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City, October 11: the model's pick was Manchester City to win (45%) and it came in.
- Coventry 4–1 Newcastle, October 12: the model's pick was Newcastle to win (46%) and it missed.
Matchday 6 FAQ
When is Premier League Matchday 6 played?
From October 10 to October 12. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 6?
Arsenal - Leeds: Arsenal to win at 67% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.