Premier League · 2026/27

Premier League Matchday 4 predictions

10 fixtures from September 12 to September 14. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Saturday, September 12 · 14:00

Chelsea#4

VS

Hull City#3
1 · 78%X · 16%2 · 6%
Chelsea to win · 78% Correct score: StarterFull analysis →

Every fixture this round

Saturday, September 12

  1. 14:00
    Bournemouth#15
    Brentford#5
    38%28%34%
  2. 14:00
    Liverpool#6
    Fulham#19
    65%22%13%
  3. 14:00
    Chelsea#4
    Hull City#3
    78%16%6%
  4. 14:00
    Crystal Palace#13
    Ipswich#14
    45%28%27%
  5. 14:00
    Aston Villa#17
    Nottingham Forest#16
    44%29%27%
  6. 16:30
    Tottenham#18
    Everton#8
    40%30%30%
  7. 19:00
    Sunderland#12
    Arsenal#2
    12%24%64%

Sunday, September 13

  1. 13:00
    Coventry#20
    Brighton#10
    20%27%53%
  2. 15:30
    Manchester United#11
    Manchester City#1
    27%27%46%

Monday, September 14

  1. 19:00
    Leeds#9
    Newcastle#7
    39%28%33%

Premier League Matchday 4 runs from September 12 to September 14 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Chelsea - Hull City: Chelsea to win at 78%. The tightest match is Bournemouth - Brentford, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Premier League predictions →Premier League table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 4 FAQ

When is Premier League Matchday 4 played?

From September 12 to September 14. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?

Chelsea - Hull City: Chelsea to win at 78% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.