Premier League · 2026/27

Premier League Matchday 3 predictions

10 fixtures from September 4 to September 6. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Sunday, September 6 · 15:30

Arsenal#2

2–1

Chelsea#4
1 · 60%X · 25%2 · 15%
Arsenal to win · 60%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, September 4

  1. 0–2
    Ipswich#14
    Liverpool#6
    14%22%64%

Saturday, September 5

  1. 2–2
    Newcastle#7
    Bournemouth#15
    41%28%31%
  2. 2–3
    Fulham#19
    Crystal Palace#13
    41%31%28%
  3. 1–0
    Manchester City#1
    Coventry#20
    84%12%4%
  4. 1–1
    Brighton#10
    Leeds#9
    47%28%25%
  5. 1–1
    Brentford#5
    Sunderland#12
    56%26%18%
  6. 0–0
    Nottingham Forest#16
    Tottenham#18
    40%29%31%
  7. 0–0
    Hull City#3
    Aston Villa#17
    27%29%44%

Sunday, September 6

  1. 2–2
    Everton#8
    Manchester United#11
    30%30%40%
  2. 2–1
    Arsenal#2
    Chelsea#4
    60%25%15%

Premier League Matchday 3 runs from September 4 to September 6 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Manchester City - Coventry: Manchester City to win at 84%. The tightest match is Nottingham Forest - Tottenham, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Premier League predictions →Premier League table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 3 FAQ

When is Premier League Matchday 3 played?

From September 4 to September 6. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?

Manchester City - Coventry: Manchester City to win at 84% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.