Premier League · 2026/27
Premier League Matchday 3 predictions
10 fixtures from September 4 to September 6. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, September 6 · 15:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 4
1X2
Saturday, September 5
1X2- 2–2
Newcastle#8
Bournemouth#1341%28%31%✗ Miss - 2–3
Fulham#15
Crystal Palace#1741%31%28%✗ Miss - 1–0
Manchester City#1
Coventry#1984%12%4%✓ Hit - 1–1
Brighton#3
Leeds#747%28%25%✗ Miss - 1–1
Brentford#6
Sunderland#2056%26%18%✗ Miss - 0–0
Nottingham Forest#18
Tottenham#1440%29%31%✗ Miss - 0–0
Hull City#10
Aston Villa#927%29%44%✗ Miss
Sunday, September 6
1X2
Premier League Matchday 3 runs from September 4 to September 6 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Manchester City - Coventry: Manchester City to win at 84%. The tightest match is Nottingham Forest - Tottenham, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Ipswich 0–2 Liverpool, September 4: the model's pick was Liverpool to win (64%) and it came in.
- Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth, September 5: the model's pick was Newcastle to win (41%) and it missed.
- Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace, September 5: the model's pick was Fulham to win (41%) and it missed.
- Manchester City 1–0 Coventry, September 5: the model's pick was Manchester City to win (84%) and it came in.
- Brighton 1–1 Leeds, September 5: the model's pick was Brighton to win (47%) and it missed.
- Brentford 1–1 Sunderland, September 5: the model's pick was Brentford to win (56%) and it missed.
- Nottingham Forest 0–0 Tottenham, September 5: the model's pick was Nottingham Forest to win (40%) and it missed.
- Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa, September 5: the model's pick was Aston Villa to win (44%) and it missed.
- Everton 2–2 Manchester United, September 6: the model's pick was Manchester United to win (40%) and it missed.
- Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea, September 6: the model's pick was Arsenal to win (60%) and it came in.
Matchday 3 FAQ
When is Premier League Matchday 3 played?
From September 4 to September 6. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?
Manchester City - Coventry: Manchester City to win at 84% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.