NPFL · 2026/27
NPFL Matchday 3 predictions
10 fixtures from September 12 to October 7. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Wednesday, October 7 · 15:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, September 12
1X2
Sunday, September 13
1X2
Monday, September 14
1X2
Wednesday, September 16
1X2
Friday, September 18
1X2
Wednesday, October 7
1X2NPFL Matchday 3 runs from September 12 to October 7 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
Match by match
- Doma United 2–0 Enyimba, September 12: the model's pick was Doma United to win (64%) and it came in.
- Abia Warriors 2–2 Ikorodu City, September 13: the model's pick was Ikorodu City to win (49%) and it missed.
- Barau FC 3–1 Ranchers Bees, September 13: the model's pick was Barau FC to win (64%) and it came in.
- Bendel Insurance 4–2 Kun Khalifat FC, September 13: the model's pick was Bendel Insurance to win (49%) and it came in.
- Inter Lagos 0–3 Sporting Lagos, September 13: the model's pick was Inter Lagos to win (52%) and it missed.
- Kwara United 3–0 Katsina United, September 13: the model's pick was Kwara United to win (37%) and it came in.
- Niger Tornadoes 1–1 Plateau United, September 14: the model's pick was Niger Tornadoes to win (56%) and it missed.
- Rivers United 2–0 Warri Wolves, September 16: the model's pick was Rivers United to win (64%) and it came in.
- Enugu Rangers 2–1 Nasarawa United, September 18: the model's pick was Enugu Rangers to win (64%) and it missed.
- Shooting Stars vs Kano Pillars, October 7: the model's pick is Shooting Stars to win (47%).
Matchday 3 FAQ
When is NPFL Matchday 3 played?
From September 12 to October 7. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?
Shooting Stars - Kano Pillars: Shooting Stars to win at 47% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.