NPFL · 2026/27
NPFL Matchday 9 predictions
10 fixtures from October 16 to November 4. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, October 18 · 15:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 16
1X2
Saturday, October 17
1X2
Sunday, October 18
1X2
Wednesday, November 4
1X2
NPFL Matchday 9 runs from October 16 to November 4 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Rivers United - Barau FC: Rivers United to win at 72%. The tightest match is Kano Pillars - Katsina United, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Shooting Stars 3–1 Ranchers Bees, October 16: the model's pick was Shooting Stars to win (64%) and it came in.
- Doma United 1–1 Kun Khalifat FC, October 17: the model's pick was Doma United to win (69%) and it missed.
- Kwara United 1–1 Abia Warriors, October 17: the model's pick was Kwara United to win (49%) and it missed.
- Enyimba 0–0 Warri Wolves, October 18: the model's pick was Enyimba to win (69%) and it missed.
- Inter Lagos 0–2 Nasarawa United, October 18: the model's pick was Inter Lagos to win (42%) and it missed.
- Kano Pillars 1–0 Katsina United, October 18: the model's pick was Kano Pillars to win (39%) and it came in.
- Niger Tornadoes 2–1 Ikorodu City, October 18: the model's pick was Niger Tornadoes to win (59%) and it came in.
- Plateau United 2–3 Sporting Lagos, October 18: the model's pick was Plateau United to win (64%) and it missed.
- Rivers United 0–0 Barau FC, October 18: the model's pick was Rivers United to win (72%) and it missed.
- Enugu Rangers 1–0 Bendel Insurance, November 4: the model's pick was Enugu Rangers to win (62%) and it came in.
Matchday 9 FAQ
When is NPFL Matchday 9 played?
From October 16 to November 4. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 9?
Rivers United - Barau FC: Rivers United to win at 72% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.