NPFL · 2026/27
NPFL Matchday 5 predictions
10 fixtures from September 23 to September 23. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Wednesday, September 23 · 15:00
Every fixture this round
Wednesday, September 23
1X2- 15:00
Barau FC
Abia Warriors53%22%25%Correct score - 15:00
Bendel Insurance
Ikorodu City36%28%36%Correct score - 15:00
Doma United
Plateau United61%19%20%Correct score - 15:00
Enyimba
Sporting Lagos46%24%30%Correct score - 15:00
Inter Lagos
Kano Pillars28%24%48%Correct score - 15:00
Kwara United
Nasarawa United36%27%37%Correct score - 15:00
Niger Tornadoes
Warri Wolves52%22%26%Correct score - 15:00
Enugu Rangers
Ranchers Bees51%22%27%Correct score - 15:00
Rivers United
Kun Khalifat FC57%20%23%Correct score - 15:00
Shooting Stars
Katsina United54%22%24%Correct score
NPFL Matchday 5 runs from September 23 to September 23 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Doma United - Plateau United: Doma United to win at 61%. The tightest match is Bendel Insurance - Ikorodu City, where no outcome clears 36%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Barau FC vs Abia Warriors, September 23: the model's pick is Barau FC to win (53%).
- Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City, September 23: the model's pick is Bendel Insurance to win (36%).
- Doma United vs Plateau United, September 23: the model's pick is Doma United to win (61%).
- Enyimba vs Sporting Lagos, September 23: the model's pick is Enyimba to win (46%).
- Inter Lagos vs Kano Pillars, September 23: the model's pick is Kano Pillars to win (48%).
- Kwara United vs Nasarawa United, September 23: the model's pick is Nasarawa United to win (37%).
- Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves, September 23: the model's pick is Niger Tornadoes to win (52%).
- Enugu Rangers vs Ranchers Bees, September 23: the model's pick is Enugu Rangers to win (51%).
- Rivers United vs Kun Khalifat FC, September 23: the model's pick is Rivers United to win (57%).
- Shooting Stars vs Katsina United, September 23: the model's pick is Shooting Stars to win (54%).
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is NPFL Matchday 5 played?
From September 23 to September 23. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
Doma United - Plateau United: Doma United to win at 61% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.