NPFL · 2026/27
NPFL Matchday 4 predictions
10 fixtures from September 19 to September 20. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, September 19 · 15:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, September 19
1X2
Sunday, September 20
1X2
NPFL Matchday 4 runs from September 19 to September 20 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Sporting Lagos - Abia Warriors: Sporting Lagos to win at 62%. The tightest match is Katsina United - Niger Tornadoes, where no outcome clears 43%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Ikorodu City 0–0 Barau FC, September 19: the model's pick was Ikorodu City to win (60%) and it missed.
- Katsina United 1–0 Niger Tornadoes, September 19: the model's pick was Katsina United to win (43%) and it came in.
- Enyimba 0–1 Inter Lagos, September 20: the model's pick was Enyimba to win (58%) and it missed.
- Kano Pillars 4–1 Doma United, September 20: the model's pick was Kano Pillars to win (49%) and it came in.
- Kun Khalifat FC 2–4 Enugu Rangers, September 20: the model's pick was Enugu Rangers to win (45%) and it came in.
- Nasarawa United 1–1 Rivers United, September 20: the model's pick was Nasarawa United to win (47%) and it missed.
- Plateau United 3–1 Shooting Stars, September 20: the model's pick was Plateau United to win (57%) and it came in.
- Sporting Lagos 0–2 Abia Warriors, September 20: the model's pick was Sporting Lagos to win (62%) and it missed.
- Warri Wolves 1–0 Kwara United, September 20: the model's pick was Kwara United to win (44%) and it missed.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is NPFL Matchday 4 played?
From September 19 to September 20. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
Sporting Lagos - Abia Warriors: Sporting Lagos to win at 62% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.