Premier League · 2026/27
Uganda Premier League Matchday 4 predictions
9 fixtures from September 15 to September 19. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Tuesday, September 15 · 13:00
Every fixture this round
Tuesday, September 15
1X2
Wednesday, September 16
1X2
Thursday, September 17
1X2
Saturday, September 19
1X2
Premier League Matchday 4 runs from September 15 to September 19 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is SC Villa - Kigezi HomeBoyz: SC Villa to win at 69%. The tightest match is KCCA - Kataka, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- BUL 2–1 Blacks Power, September 15: the model's pick was BUL to win (49%) and it came in.
- SC Villa 3–0 Kigezi HomeBoyz, September 15: the model's pick was SC Villa to win (69%) and it came in.
- NEC 4–1 URA, September 15: the model's pick was NEC to win (50%) and it came in.
- KCCA 1–0 Kataka, September 16: the model's pick was KCCA to win (38%) and it came in.
- Mbarara City 0–0 Entebbe UPPC, September 16: the model's pick was Entebbe UPPC to win (40%) and it missed.
- Lugazi 0–2 Police, September 16: the model's pick was Police to win (40%) and it came in.
- UPDF 1–0 Maroons, September 17: the model's pick was UPDF to win (40%) and it came in.
- Express 1–1 Kitara, September 17: the model's pick was Kitara to win (40%) and it missed.
- Vipers 3–0 Ntugasaze, September 19: the model's pick was Vipers to win (63%) and it came in.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is Premier League Matchday 4 played?
From September 15 to September 19. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
SC Villa - Kigezi HomeBoyz: SC Villa to win at 69% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.