Premier League · 2026/27
Uganda Premier League Matchday 5 predictions
9 fixtures from October 7 to October 18. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Friday, October 9 · 14:00
Every fixture this round
Wednesday, October 7
1X2
Thursday, October 8
1X2
Friday, October 9
1X2
Sunday, October 18
1X2
Premier League Matchday 5 runs from October 7 to October 18 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is NEC - Express: NEC to win at 76%. The tightest match is URA - KCCA, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Maroons 3–0 Lugazi, October 7: the model's pick was Maroons to win (48%) and it came in.
- Kitara 1–0 Kigezi HomeBoyz, October 7: the model's pick was Kitara to win (60%) and it came in.
- Ntugasaze 1–0 Mbarara City, October 7: the model's pick was Mbarara City to win (52%) and it missed.
- Kataka 1–1 SC Villa, October 7: the model's pick was SC Villa to win (71%) and it missed.
- Blacks Power 0–4 Vipers, October 8: the model's pick was Blacks Power to win (59%) and it missed.
- NEC 0–0 Express, October 8: the model's pick was NEC to win (76%) and it missed.
- Entebbe UPPC 3–0 Police, October 9: the model's pick was Entebbe UPPC to win (41%) and it came in.
- URA 0–1 KCCA, October 9: the model's pick was KCCA to win (38%) and it came in.
- UPDF 0–2 BUL, October 18: the model's pick was BUL to win (47%) and it came in.
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is Premier League Matchday 5 played?
From October 7 to October 18. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
NEC - Express: NEC to win at 76% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.