Who Will Win Premier League?
2,000 season simulations · 306 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Premier League 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
BUL wins Premier League in 56.4% of 2,000 season simulations.
Blacks Power — 31.6% title chance.
Ntugasaze goes down in 88% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BUL | 3 | 9 | 56.4% | 97.9% | <0.1% | 73 |
| 2 |  Blacks Power | 3 | 9 | 31.6% | 94.5% | <0.1% | 71 |
| 3 |  SC Villa | 3 | 7 | 5.6% | 68.1% | <0.1% | 62 |
| 4 |  NEC | 3 | 7 | 4.7% | 71.2% | <0.1% | 62 |
| 5 |  Entebbe UPPC | 3 | 6 | 1.2% | 29.6% | 0.2% | 56 |
| 6 |  Lugazi | 3 | 6 | 0.6% | 24.6% | 0.1% | 55 |
| 7 |  URA | 2 | 3 | 0.1% | 6% | 1.6% | 48 |
| 8 |  Police | 3 | 4 | <0.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 46 |
| 9 |  Kitara | 1 | 1 | <0.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 45 |
| 10 |  Maroons | 3 | 3 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 8.7% | 42 |
| 11 |  Express | 3 | 3 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 10.6% | 41 |
| 12 |  Vipers | 1 | 0 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 15.9% | 40 |
| 13 |  Mbarara City | 2 | 1 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 21.8% | 39 |
| 14 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 2 | 1 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 21.1% | 38 |
| 15 |  UPDF | 3 | 2 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 27.8% | 37 |
| 16 |  Kataka | 2 | 1 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 31.4% | 37 |
| 17 |  KCCA | 3 | 1 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 66% | 31 |
| 18 |  Ntugasaze | 3 | 0 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 88% | 26 |
Next Premier League fixtures — with AI predictions
- BUL – Blacks PowerTue, Sep 15AI prediction →
- SC Villa – Kigezi HomeBoyzTue, Sep 15AI prediction →
- NEC – URATue, Sep 15AI prediction →
- KCCA – KatakaWed, Sep 16AI prediction →
- Mbarara City – Entebbe UPPCWed, Sep 16AI prediction →
- Lugazi – PoliceWed, Sep 16AI prediction →
- UPDF – MaroonsThu, Sep 17AI prediction →
- Express – KitaraThu, Sep 17AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Premier League fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Premier League in 2026/27?
BUL wins Premier League in 56.4% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.