First League · 2026/27
First League Matchday 17 predictions
7 fixtures from December 5 to December 5. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, December 5 · 16:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, December 5
1X2- 16:00
Ludogorets#3
Cherno More Varna#980%12%8%Correct score - 16:00
CSKA Sofia#2
Septemvri Sofia#1183%12%5%Correct score - 16:00
Slavia Sofia#7
Botev Vratsa#1254%22%24%Correct score - 16:00
Lokomotiv Plovdiv#14
Levski Sofia#18%13%79%Correct score - 16:00
CSKA 1948#4
Lokomotiv Sofia#1381%12%7%Correct score - 16:00
Arda Kardzhali#6
Dunav Ruse#1061%19%20%Correct score - 16:00
Spartak Varna#8
Botev Plovdiv#526%22%52%Correct score
First League Matchday 17 runs from December 5 to December 5 with 7 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is CSKA Sofia - Septemvri Sofia: CSKA Sofia to win at 83%. The tightest match is Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv, where no outcome clears 52%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna, December 5: the model's pick is Ludogorets to win (80%).
- CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia, December 5: the model's pick is CSKA Sofia to win (83%).
- Slavia Sofia vs Botev Vratsa, December 5: the model's pick is Slavia Sofia to win (54%).
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia, December 5: the model's pick is Levski Sofia to win (79%).
- CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia, December 5: the model's pick is CSKA 1948 to win (81%).
- Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse, December 5: the model's pick is Arda Kardzhali to win (61%).
- Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv, December 5: the model's pick is Botev Plovdiv to win (52%).
Matchday 17 FAQ
When is First League Matchday 17 played?
From December 5 to December 5. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 17?
CSKA Sofia - Septemvri Sofia: CSKA Sofia to win at 83% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.