HNL · 2026/27

HNL Matchday 10 predictions

5 fixtures from October 16 to October 18. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Sunday, October 18 · 13:00

HNK Hajduk Split#1

1–0

NK Varazdin#4
1 · 50%X · 27%2 · 23%
HNK Hajduk Split to win · 50%Full analysis

Every fixture this round

Friday, October 16

  1. 1–2
    Rudes#8
    HNK Rijeka#5
    10%22%68%

Saturday, October 17

  1. 2–0
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb#9
    Istra 1961#6
    40%27%33%
  2. 1–1
    NK Osijek#3
    HNK Gorica#10
    55%28%17%

Sunday, October 18

  1. 1–0
    HNK Hajduk Split#1
    NK Varazdin#4
    50%27%23%
  2. 1–5
    NK Slaven Belupo#7
    Dinamo Zagreb#2
    12%22%66%

HNL Matchday 10 runs from October 16 to October 18 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Rudes - HNK Rijeka: HNK Rijeka to win at 68%. The tightest match is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All HNL predictions HNL table Who will win? Title odds

Matchday 10 FAQ

When is HNL Matchday 10 played?

From October 16 to October 18. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 10?

Rudes - HNK Rijeka: HNK Rijeka to win at 68% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.