HNL · 2026/27

HNL Matchday 3 predictions

5 fixtures from August 14 to August 16. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Sunday, August 16 · 16:30

NK Varazdin#3

2–0

HNK Rijeka#5
1 · 30%X · 31%2 · 39%
HNK Rijeka to win · 39%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, August 14

  1. 4–0
    Dinamo Zagreb#2
    Rudes#9
    84%12%4%

Saturday, August 15

  1. 3–0
    Istra 1961#6
    NK Slaven Belupo#7
    50%30%20%
  2. 1–0
    NK Osijek#4
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb#8
    40%33%27%

Sunday, August 16

  1. 2–0
    NK Varazdin#3
    HNK Rijeka#5
    30%31%39%
  2. 1–2
    HNK Gorica#10
    HNK Hajduk Split#1
    18%30%52%

HNL Matchday 3 runs from August 14 to August 16 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Dinamo Zagreb - Rudes: Dinamo Zagreb to win at 84%. The tightest match is NK Varazdin - HNK Rijeka, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All HNL predictions →HNL table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 3 FAQ

When is HNL Matchday 3 played?

From August 14 to August 16. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?

Dinamo Zagreb - Rudes: Dinamo Zagreb to win at 84% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.