HNL · 2026/27

HNL Matchday 4 predictions

5 fixtures from August 21 to August 23. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Saturday, August 22 · 19:00

Dinamo Zagreb#2

3–1

NK Varazdin#3
1 · 62%X · 24%2 · 14%
Dinamo Zagreb to win · 62%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, August 21

  1. 4–1
    Rudes#9
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb#8
    13%23%64%

Saturday, August 22

  1. 2–0
    NK Slaven Belupo#7
    HNK Gorica#10
    34%28%38%
  2. 3–1
    Dinamo Zagreb#2
    NK Varazdin#3
    62%24%14%

Sunday, August 23

  1. 3–2
    HNK Rijeka#5
    Istra 1961#6
    48%28%24%
  2. 4–0
    HNK Hajduk Split#1
    NK Osijek#4
    39%30%31%

HNL Matchday 4 runs from August 21 to August 23 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Rudes - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win at 64%. The tightest match is NK Slaven Belupo - HNK Gorica, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All HNL predictions →HNL table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 4 FAQ

When is HNL Matchday 4 played?

From August 21 to August 23. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?

Rudes - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.